语言:简体中文
Ireland v Afghanistan
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Ireland (主队)
预测 33.23%3.01公平赔率
EV -0.978%
优势 -0.328%
Kelly -0.494%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.98
博彩公司预测分布
31.81%33.23%33.01%36.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.622.792.752.9838.17%35.80%36.36%33.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
Afghanistan (客队)
预测 66.77%1.50公平赔率
EV +0.157%
优势 +0.104%
Kelly +0.313%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.50
博彩公司预测分布
63.59%66.77%66.99%68.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.361.431.431.5073.53%70.11%69.93%66.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Ireland (主队)：33.23%；Afghanistan (客队)：66.77%。 对于“Afghanistan (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.498。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.500，对应+0.157%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -12.94%E -4.94%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV +0.157%E +0.104%K +0.313%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-12 09:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -1.85%E -1.26%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 09:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -1.85%E -1.26%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 09:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.96%EV -6.29%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.04%EV -3.18%E -2.19%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-10 20:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.85%E -2.67%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 11:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.85%E -2.67%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 11:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.85%E -2.67%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 11:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.85%E -2.67%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 09:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.85%E -2.67%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 09:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.85%E -2.67%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 09:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.85%E -2.67%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 09:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05%EV -7.96%E -2.87%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.95%EV -4.52%E -3.16%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-12 09:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.52%E -3.16%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-11 11:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.52%E -3.16%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-11 11:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.52%E -3.16%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-11 11:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.52%E -3.16%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-11 11:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.52%E -3.16%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-11 11:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.52%E -3.16%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-11 11:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.64%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.19%E -3.65%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-12 09:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -2.97%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -5.85%E -4.15%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 09:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.64%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.85%E -4.15%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 09:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.64%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-12 09:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.64%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-12 04:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.81%EV -0.978%E -0.328%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%EV -7.19%E -5.17%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-12 08:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -6.96%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.86%E -5.69%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-12 09:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -4.30%E -1.49%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.19%E -6.76%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-12 09:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -4.30%E -1.49%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.19%E -6.76%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-12 09:34 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 0.4% | 2026-08-12 09:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 0.4% | 2026-08-12 09:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 0.4% | 2026-08-12 09:30 |