Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ireland v Afghanistan

2026-08-07 09:45 UTC — One Day Internationals

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ireland (Local)

Prediction 39.85%2.51fair odd
EV -5.16%
Edge -2.17%
Kelly -3.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.75%39.85%39.85%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.342.352.3844.44%42.73%42.55%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Afghanistan (Visit)

Prediction 60.15%1.66fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -4.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%60.15%60.15%60.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.571.571.6265.36%63.57%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Ireland (Local): 39.85%; Afghanistan (Visit): 60.15%. For Afghanistan (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.66. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.62, with an expected value of -2.55%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.16%E -2.17%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 11:55
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.16%E -2.17%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 12:25
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -5.56%E -2.35%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -5.56%E -2.35%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 11:50
SportsBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -5.56%E -2.35%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 11:50
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.36%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.96%E -3.14%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 11:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.36%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.96%E -3.14%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 11:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.36%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.96%E -3.14%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.36%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 11:50
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.36%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 11:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.36%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 11:50
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.36%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 11:50
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.36%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 11:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.36%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 11:50
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.35%E -3.63%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.76%E -2.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.35%E -3.63%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.76%E -2.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 11:50
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.35%E -3.63%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.97%E -5.21%K -15.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-05 11:50
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.35%E -3.63%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.97%E -5.21%K -15.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-05 11:50
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.34%E -4.60%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.55%E -1.58%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 11:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.