Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.18
assuming max odds 5.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: India (Local): 81.91%; West Indies (Visit): 18.09%. For West Indies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.53. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.50, with an expected value of -0.478%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -3.35%E -2.84%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -13.14%E -2.74%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 08:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -3.35%E -2.84%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -13.14%E -2.74%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 08:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.72%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 08:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.53%E -1.91%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 08:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.53%E -1.91%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 08:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.57%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.53%E -1.91%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 08:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -4.10%E -0.773%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 08:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -4.10%E -0.773%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 08:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -4.10%E -0.773%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 08:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -4.10%E -0.773%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 08:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -4.10%E -0.773%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 08:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -4.10%E -0.773%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 08:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -4.10%E -0.773%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 08:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -4.10%E -0.773%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 08:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.53%E -1.91%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 08:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -4.99%E -4.30%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -16.76%E -3.64%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-03 08:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.478%E -0.087%K -0.106%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 08:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.478%E -0.087%K -0.106%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 08:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.81%E -5.05%K -38.73%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.29%E -0.424%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 08:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.63%E -5.81%K -47.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.478%E -0.087%K -0.106%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 07:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.63%E -5.81%K -47.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.478%E -0.087%K -0.106%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 08:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.63%E -5.81%K -47.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.478%E -0.087%K -0.106%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 08:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.63%E -5.81%K -47.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.478%E -0.087%K -0.106%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 07:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.63%E -5.81%K -47.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.53%E -1.91%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-03 08:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.63%E -5.81%K -47.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.53%E -1.91%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-03 08:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.63%E -5.81%K -47.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.53%E -1.91%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-03 08:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.63%E -5.81%K -47.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.53%E -1.91%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-03 08:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.97%EV -6.63%E -5.81%K -47.34%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -12.24%E -2.52%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-03 08:26 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-10-03 08:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 08:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 08:25 |