Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

India v West Indies

Kickoff: 2026-09-30 08:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

India (Local)

Prediction 84.90%1.18fair odd
EV -4.06%
Edge -3.59%
Kelly -31.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.27%85.05%84.84%86.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.101.101.1391.74%90.53%90.91%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

West Indies (Visit)

Prediction 15.10%6.62fair odd
EV +5.67%
Edge +0.811%
Kelly +0.946%
Growth +0.054%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.58%14.95%15.16%15.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.586.507.0016.67%15.19%15.38%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: India (Local): 84.90%; West Indies (Visit): 15.10%. For West Indies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.62. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.67%.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.61%E -6.01%K -66.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +5.67%E +0.811%K +0.946%G +0.054%5.2%2026-09-30 08:09
Grosvenor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.61%E -6.01%K -66.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +5.67%E +0.811%K +0.946%G +0.054%5.2%2026-09-30 08:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.61%E -6.01%K -66.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +5.67%E +0.811%K +0.946%G +0.054%5.2%2026-09-30 08:10
TABtouch🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.61%E -6.01%K -66.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +5.67%E +0.811%K +0.946%G +0.054%5.2%2026-09-30 08:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.61%E -6.01%K -66.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +5.67%E +0.811%K +0.946%G +0.054%5.2%2026-09-30 08:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.61%E -6.01%K -66.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +5.67%E +0.811%K +0.946%G +0.054%5.2%2026-09-30 08:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.61%E -6.01%K -66.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +5.67%E +0.811%K +0.946%G +0.054%5.2%2026-09-30 08:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.61%E -6.01%K -66.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +5.67%E +0.811%K +0.946%G +0.054%5.2%2026-09-30 08:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.61%E -6.01%K -66.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +5.67%E +0.811%K +0.946%G +0.054%5.2%2026-09-30 08:25
PlayUp🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.61%E -6.01%K -66.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +5.67%E +0.811%K +0.946%G +0.054%5.2%2026-09-30 08:25
Sky Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.61%E -6.01%K -66.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +5.67%E +0.811%K +0.946%G +0.054%5.2%2026-09-30 07:15
Casumo🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.61%E -6.01%K -66.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +5.67%E +0.811%K +0.946%G +0.054%5.2%2026-09-30 08:10
Bet Right🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.06%E -3.59%K -31.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -1.87%E -0.288%K -0.341%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-30 08:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.76%E -5.19%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.87%E -0.288%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-30 08:19
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.76%E -5.19%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.87%E -0.288%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-30 08:19
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.76%E -5.19%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.87%E -0.288%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-30 08:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.61%E -6.01%K -66.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.87%E -0.288%K -0.341%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-30 08:25
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.61%E -6.01%K -66.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.87%E -0.288%K -0.341%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-30 08:13
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.61%E -6.01%K -66.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.87%E -0.288%K -0.341%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-30 08:24
TAB🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.61%E -6.01%K -66.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.87%E -0.288%K -0.341%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-30 08:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.05%EV -7.46%E -6.84%K -82.83%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.95%EV -6.40%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-30 08:25
Pinnacle🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.41%EV -4.06%E -3.59%K -31.22%G +0.000%6.12I 16.34%NM 15.59%EV -7.61%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-30 07:55
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.91%E -4.38%K -40.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.42%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-30 08:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.91%E -4.38%K -40.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.42%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-30 08:19
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.91%E -4.38%K -40.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.42%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-30 08:05
GTbets🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.76%E -5.19%K -52.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.42%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-30 08:25
Bet Victor🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.46%E -6.84%K -82.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -9.42%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-30 08:23
betano_uk🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.46%E -6.84%K -82.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -9.42%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-30 08:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%0.7%2026-09-30 08:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%0.7%2026-09-30 08:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-09-30 08:25