Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

India v Afghanistan

Kickoff: 2026-06-20 08:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

India (Local)

Prediction 84.74%1.18fair odd
EV -3.40%
Edge -2.98%
Kelly -24.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.28%84.61%84.51%86.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.111.111.1491.74%89.98%90.09%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Afghanistan (Visit)

Prediction 15.26%6.55fair odd
EV +10.65%
Edge +1.47%
Kelly +1.70%
Growth +0.181%

assuming max odds 7.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.07%15.39%15.49%17.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.206.376.007.2519.23%15.71%16.67%13.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: India (Local): 84.74%; Afghanistan (Visit): 15.26%. For Afghanistan (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.55. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.65%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
LeoVegas🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -7.64%E -7.00%K -84.84%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV +10.65%E +1.47%K +1.70%G +0.181%5.5%2026-06-20 07:39
Grosvenor🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -7.64%E -7.00%K -84.84%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV +10.65%E +1.47%K +1.70%G +0.181%5.5%2026-06-20 07:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -7.64%E -7.00%K -84.84%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV +10.65%E +1.47%K +1.70%G +0.181%5.5%2026-06-20 07:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -7.64%E -7.00%K -84.84%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV +10.65%E +1.47%K +1.70%G +0.181%5.5%2026-06-20 07:39
TABtouch🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -7.64%E -7.00%K -84.84%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV +10.65%E +1.47%K +1.70%G +0.181%5.5%2026-06-20 07:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -7.64%E -7.00%K -84.84%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV +10.65%E +1.47%K +1.70%G +0.181%5.5%2026-06-20 07:39
Unibet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -7.64%E -7.00%K -84.84%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV +10.65%E +1.47%K +1.70%G +0.181%5.5%2026-06-20 07:40
Casumo🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -7.64%E -7.00%K -84.84%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV +10.65%E +1.47%K +1.70%G +0.181%5.5%2026-06-20 07:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -7.64%E -7.00%K -84.84%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV +10.65%E +1.47%K +1.70%G +0.181%5.5%2026-06-20 07:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -7.64%E -7.00%K -84.84%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV +10.65%E +1.47%K +1.70%G +0.181%5.5%2026-06-20 07:40
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.79%E -6.17%K -67.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.83%E +0.976%K +1.14%G +0.078%5.2%2026-06-20 07:49
Pinnacle🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.94%E -5.35%K -54.00%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +2.25%E +0.336%K +0.395%G +0.009%5.0%2026-06-20 05:29
GTbets🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.79%E -6.17%K -67.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -0.799%E -0.123%K -0.145%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-19 21:29
PlayUp🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.25%E -3.76%K -32.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.43%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 07:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.25%E -3.76%K -32.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.43%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 07:39
Bet Right🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.25%E -3.76%K -32.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.43%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 07:50
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.25%E -3.76%K -32.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.43%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 07:49
William Hill🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.09%E -4.55%K -42.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.43%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 21:59
TAB🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.09%E -4.55%K -42.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.43%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 07:39
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.94%E -5.35%K -54.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.43%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-19 23:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.64%E -7.00%K -84.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -8.43%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-20 07:49
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.25%E -3.76%K -32.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -12.25%E -2.13%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 07:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -16.06%E -2.92%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 07:49
Coral🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -16.06%E -2.92%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 07:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -16.06%E -2.92%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 07:49
Neds🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -16.06%E -2.92%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 07:49
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -16.06%E -2.92%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 07:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -5.94%E -5.35%K -54.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -16.06%E -2.92%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-20 06:50
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -5.09%E -4.55%K -42.44%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -20.64%E -3.97%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-20 07:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-06-20 07:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-06-20 07:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-06-20 07:50