Language:English
India v Afghanistan
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
India (Local)
Prediction 86.05%1.16fair odd
EV -3.63%
Edge -3.24%
Kelly -30.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.39%85.98%86.09%87.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.101.101.1292.59%90.94%90.91%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Afghanistan (Visit)
Prediction 13.95%7.17fair odd
EV +4.65%
Edge +0.620%
Kelly +0.715%
Growth +0.033%
assuming max odds 7.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.69%14.02%13.91%15.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.766.757.5016.67%14.80%14.81%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: India (Local): 86.05%; Afghanistan (Visit): 13.95%. For Afghanistan (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.17. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.65%.
Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.21%E -5.70%K -68.99%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +4.65%E +0.620%K +0.715%G +0.033% | 5.1% | 2026-06-13 00:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.21%E -5.70%K -68.99%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +4.65%E +0.620%K +0.715%G +0.033% | 5.1% | 2026-06-13 00:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.45%EV -5.35%E -4.86%K -53.49%G +0.000% | 7.02I 14.25%NM 13.55%EV -2.05%E -0.292%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-12 08:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.49%E -4.04%K -40.80%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.33%E -0.332%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-13 00:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.35%E -4.86%K -53.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.33%E -0.332%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-13 00:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.35%E -4.86%K -53.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.33%E -0.332%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-13 00:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.35%E -4.86%K -53.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.33%E -0.332%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-13 00:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.21%E -5.70%K -68.99%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -2.33%E -0.332%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-13 00:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.21%E -5.70%K -68.99%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -2.33%E -0.332%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-13 00:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.35%E -4.86%K -53.49%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -5.81%E -0.861%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-11 17:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.35%E -4.86%K -53.49%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -5.81%E -0.861%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-11 17:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.35%E -4.86%K -53.49%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -5.81%E -0.861%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-11 17:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.35%E -4.86%K -53.49%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -5.81%E -0.861%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-11 17:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.35%E -4.86%K -53.49%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -5.81%E -0.861%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-11 17:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.35%E -4.86%K -53.49%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -5.81%E -0.861%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-11 17:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.35%E -4.86%K -53.49%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -5.81%E -0.861%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-11 17:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.35%E -4.86%K -53.49%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -5.81%E -0.861%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-11 17:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.35%E -4.86%K -53.49%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -5.81%E -0.861%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-11 17:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.35%E -4.86%K -53.49%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -5.81%E -0.861%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-11 17:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.63%E -3.24%K -30.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -9.30%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-13 00:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.49%E -4.04%K -40.80%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -9.30%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-13 00:08 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.49%E -4.04%K -40.80%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -9.30%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-13 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.49%E -4.04%K -40.80%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -9.30%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-13 00:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.35%E -4.86%K -53.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.30%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-13 00:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.35%E -4.86%K -53.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.30%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-13 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.35%E -4.86%K -53.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.30%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-13 00:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.07%E -6.55%K -88.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -9.30%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-13 06:51 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.56%EV -7.07%E -6.55%K -88.37%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -10.70%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-13 07:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.49%E -4.04%K -40.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -16.28%E -2.71%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-13 07:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-06-13 07:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-06-13 07:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-06-13 07:50 |