Language:English
India v Afghanistan
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
India (Local)
Prediction 84.24%1.19fair odd
EV -3.96%
Edge -3.48%
Kelly -28.30%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.45%84.18%84.27%85.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.121.121.1491.74%89.48%89.29%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Afghanistan (Visit)
Prediction 15.76%6.35fair odd
EV +2.42%
Edge +0.372%
Kelly +0.439%
Growth +0.011%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.59%15.82%15.73%16.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.606.166.006.5017.86%16.23%16.67%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: India (Local): 84.24%; Afghanistan (Visit): 15.76%. For Afghanistan (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.35. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.42%.
Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.49%E -5.85%K -59.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +2.42%E +0.372%K +0.439%G +0.011% | 5.5% | 2026-06-17 07:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.49%E -5.85%K -59.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +2.42%E +0.372%K +0.439%G +0.011% | 5.5% | 2026-06-17 07:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.49%E -5.85%K -59.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +2.42%E +0.372%K +0.439%G +0.011% | 5.5% | 2026-06-17 07:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.49%E -5.85%K -59.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +2.42%E +0.372%K +0.439%G +0.011% | 5.5% | 2026-06-17 07:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.49%E -5.85%K -59.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +2.42%E +0.372%K +0.439%G +0.011% | 5.5% | 2026-06-17 07:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.49%E -5.85%K -59.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +2.42%E +0.372%K +0.439%G +0.011% | 5.5% | 2026-06-17 07:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.49%E -5.85%K -59.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +2.42%E +0.372%K +0.439%G +0.011% | 5.5% | 2026-06-17 07:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.49%E -5.85%K -59.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +2.42%E +0.372%K +0.439%G +0.011% | 5.5% | 2026-06-17 07:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.49%E -5.85%K -59.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +2.42%E +0.372%K +0.439%G +0.011% | 5.5% | 2026-06-17 07:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.49%E -5.85%K -59.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +2.42%E +0.372%K +0.439%G +0.011% | 5.5% | 2026-06-17 07:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.49%E -5.85%K -59.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +2.42%E +0.372%K +0.439%G +0.011% | 5.5% | 2026-06-17 07:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -6.49%E -5.85%K -59.00%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -1.52%E -0.244%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-17 07:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.28%EV -4.80%E -4.25%K -36.96%G +0.000% | 6.06I 16.50%NM 15.72%EV -4.52%E -0.745%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 02:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.80%E -4.25%K -36.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.46%E -0.910%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 07:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.80%E -4.25%K -36.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.46%E -0.910%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 07:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.80%E -4.25%K -36.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.46%E -0.910%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 07:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.65%E -5.04%K -47.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.46%E -0.910%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-17 07:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.65%E -5.04%K -47.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.46%E -0.910%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-17 07:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.65%E -5.04%K -47.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.46%E -0.910%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-17 07:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.65%E -5.04%K -47.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.46%E -0.910%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-17 07:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.65%E -5.04%K -47.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.46%E -0.910%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-17 07:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.65%E -5.04%K -47.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.46%E -0.910%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-17 07:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.65%E -5.04%K -47.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.46%E -0.910%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-17 07:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.65%E -5.04%K -47.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.46%E -0.910%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-17 07:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -8.17%E -7.50%K -90.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -5.46%E -0.910%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-17 07:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.96%E -3.48%K -28.30%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.40%E -1.63%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 07:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.96%E -3.48%K -28.30%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.40%E -1.63%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 07:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.80%E -4.25%K -36.96%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.40%E -1.63%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-17 07:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -6.49%E -5.85%K -59.00%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -11.76%E -2.10%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-17 07:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 86.12% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88% | 0.1% | 2026-06-17 07:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-06-17 07:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-06-17 07:50 |