The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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England v India

Kickoff: 2026-07-19 10:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

England (Local)

Prediction 55.51%1.80fair odd
EV -0.083%
Edge -0.046%
Kelly -0.103%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%55.38%55.18%57.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.711.701.8062.11%58.63%58.82%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

India (Visit)

Prediction 44.49%2.25fair odd
EV -2.12%
Edge -0.964%
Kelly -1.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.82%44.62%44.82%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.132.152.2050.00%47.02%46.51%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: England (Local): 55.51%; India (Visit): 44.49%. For England (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.801. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.800, with an expected value of -0.083%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.083%E -0.046%K -0.103%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -11.02%E -5.51%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-16 20:25
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -1.75%E -0.988%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -11.02%E -5.51%K -11.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-18 19:40
GTbets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -2.30%E -1.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -11.02%E -5.51%K -11.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 09:59
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.86%E -1.63%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.79%E -2.24%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-19 09:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -3.97%E -2.29%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -2.12%E -0.964%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-19 09:45
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -3.97%E -2.29%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -2.12%E -0.964%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-19 09:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.97%E -2.29%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.57%E -3.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 09:59
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.97%E -2.29%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.57%E -3.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 09:10
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.52%E -2.63%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.68%E -2.68%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 09:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.08%E -2.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.57%E -3.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-19 09:59
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.63%E -3.31%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 09:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.63%E -3.31%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 09:40
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.63%E -3.31%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 09:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.63%E -3.31%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 09:40
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.63%E -3.31%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 09:40
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.63%E -3.31%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 09:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.63%E -3.31%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 09:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.63%E -3.31%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 09:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.63%E -3.31%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 09:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.63%E -3.31%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.57%E -3.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 09:45
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.63%E -3.31%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.57%E -3.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 09:45
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.74%E -4.01%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.12%E -0.964%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 09:50
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.74%E -4.01%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 09:45
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.74%E -4.01%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 09:55
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.30%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.12%E -0.964%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 09:45
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.30%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.12%E -0.964%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 09:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -7.30%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -7.90%E -3.82%K -7.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 09:55
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.30%E -4.37%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.79%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-19 09:59
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -10.63%E -6.60%K -17.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-19 09:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-07-19 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-07-19 09:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-07-19 09:55