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England v India
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
England (Local)
Prediction 52.41%1.91fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -3.59%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%52.23%52.46%53.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.801.801.8557.14%55.61%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
India (Visit)
Prediction 47.59%2.10fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -2.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.34%47.77%47.54%48.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.992.002.0552.36%50.16%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: England (Local): 52.41%; India (Visit): 47.59%. For India (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.10. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.05, with an expected value of -2.43%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.05%E -1.65%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -4.34%E -2.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-14 09:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.10%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.77%E -2.91%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-14 09:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.10%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.10%E -4.76%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-14 09:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.86%E -1.91%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-14 09:39 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.81%E -2.41%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-14 09:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.81%E -2.41%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-14 09:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.81%E -2.41%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-14 09:39 |
| Sky Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.81%E -2.41%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 11:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.81%E -2.41%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-14 09:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.81%E -2.41%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-14 09:50 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.81%E -2.41%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-14 09:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.81%E -2.41%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-14 09:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.81%E -2.41%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-14 09:39 |
| Casumo | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.81%E -2.41%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-14 09:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.81%E -2.41%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-14 09:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.81%E -2.41%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-14 09:39 |
| Unibet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.81%E -2.41%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-14 09:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.81%E -2.41%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-14 09:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.81%E -2.41%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-14 09:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.81%E -2.41%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-14 09:39 |
| GTbets | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.81%E -2.41%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-14 09:30 |
| TAB | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.81%E -2.41%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-14 09:44 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.81%E -2.41%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-14 07:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.81%E -2.41%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-14 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.81%E -2.41%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-13 07:14 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.81%E -2.41%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-13 07:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.24%E -4.09%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.43%E -1.19%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-14 09:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -7.24%E -4.09%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -7.67%E -3.95%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-14 09:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.29%E -4.74%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.19%E -3.69%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-14 09:48 |
| betano_uk | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.29%E -4.74%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.19%E -3.69%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-14 09:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00% | 0.4% | 2026-07-14 09:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00% | 0.4% | 2026-07-14 09:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00% | 0.4% | 2026-07-14 09:55 |