The School of Odds
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Canada v Nepal

2026-10-11 06:00 UTC — One Day Internationals

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Canada (Local)

Prediction 40.00%2.50fair odd
EV -4.79%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -3.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.13%40.00%40.00%41.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.312.302.3843.48%43.36%43.48%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nepal (Visit)

Prediction 60.00%1.67fair odd
EV -4.00%
Edge -2.50%
Kelly -6.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.97%60.00%60.00%60.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.571.561.6065.36%63.76%64.10%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Canada (Local): 40.00%; Nepal (Visit): 60.00%. For Nepal (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.67. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.60, with an expected value of -4.00%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.79%E -2.01%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.20%E -5.36%K -15.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-10 14:01
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.99%E -3.48%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.00%E -2.50%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.99%E -3.48%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.00%E -2.50%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 14:00
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.99%E -3.48%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.60%E -2.90%K -7.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.99%E -3.48%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.80%E -3.70%K -10.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.99%E -3.48%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.80%E -3.70%K -10.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 14:01
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.99%E -3.48%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.80%E -3.70%K -10.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.99%E -3.48%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.40%E -4.10%K -11.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.99%E -3.48%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.40%E -4.10%K -11.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 14:01
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.99%E -3.48%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.40%E -4.10%K -11.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.99%E -3.48%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.40%E -4.10%K -11.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 14:00
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.99%E -3.48%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.40%E -4.10%K -11.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.99%E -3.48%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.40%E -4.10%K -11.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 14:01
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.