The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Bangladesh v Zimbabwe

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 11:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bangladesh (Local)

Prediction 65.89%1.52fair odd
EV -3.14%
Edge -2.13%
Kelly -6.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.75%65.89%66.27%67.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.431.441.4771.43%70.00%69.44%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Zimbabwe (Visit)

Prediction 34.11%2.93fair odd
EV -1.09%
Edge -0.376%
Kelly -0.574%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.56%34.11%33.73%35.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.802.752.9037.04%35.68%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bangladesh (Local): 65.89%; Zimbabwe (Visit): 34.11%. For Zimbabwe (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.93. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.90, with an expected value of -1.09%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.14%E -2.13%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.91%E -2.93%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 10:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.21%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 11:10
Neds🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.21%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 11:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.21%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 11:25
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.45%E -3.07%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.21%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 11:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -2.11%E -0.737%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-17 11:10
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -2.11%E -0.737%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-17 11:10
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.21%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-17 07:09
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.21%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-17 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.21%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-17 11:25
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.21%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-17 11:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.11%E -3.55%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.21%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-17 11:25
Grosvenor🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.09%E -5.03%K -17.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.09%E -0.376%K -0.574%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-17 11:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.09%E -5.03%K -17.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.09%E -0.376%K -0.574%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-17 11:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.09%E -5.03%K -17.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.09%E -0.376%K -0.574%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-17 11:25
Casumo🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.09%E -5.03%K -17.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.09%E -0.376%K -0.574%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-17 11:25
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -7.09%E -5.03%K -17.29%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV -2.45%E -0.858%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-17 11:20
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.75%E -5.54%K -19.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.09%E -0.376%K -0.574%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-17 11:25
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.75%E -5.54%K -19.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.50%E -1.61%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 11:05
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.75%E -5.54%K -19.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.21%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-17 11:24
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.75%E -5.54%K -19.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.21%E -2.26%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-17 11:23
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-10-17 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-10-17 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-10-17 11:25