Language:English
Bangladesh v Pakistan
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bangladesh (Local)
Prediction 50.73%1.97fair odd
EV -0.577%
Edge -0.295%
Kelly -0.601%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.98%50.52%50.68%52.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.841.831.9655.56%54.21%54.64%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pakistan (Visit)
Prediction 49.27%2.03fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -2.49%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.00%49.48%49.32%52.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.921.931.9856.18%52.06%51.81%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bangladesh (Local): 50.73%; Pakistan (Visit): 49.27%. For Bangladesh (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.97. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.96, with an expected value of -0.577%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -0.577%E -0.295%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -6.87%E -3.64%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-13 08:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -2.10%E -1.09%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -12.29%E -6.91%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-13 07:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.11%E -1.63%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.89%E -3.08%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-13 07:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.18%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.87%E -3.64%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-13 07:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.64%E -2.47%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.39%E -2.81%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 07:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.14%E -2.75%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.92%E -2.01%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-13 08:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.14%E -2.75%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.89%E -3.08%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-13 08:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -5.65%E -3.04%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.38%E -3.36%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-13 08:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.16%E -3.33%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.92%E -2.01%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 07:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.16%E -3.33%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.90%E -2.54%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-13 08:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.16%E -3.33%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.90%E -2.54%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-13 08:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.45%EV -6.66%E -3.62%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.55%EV -3.92%E -2.01%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-13 08:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.45%EV -6.66%E -3.62%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.55%EV -3.92%E -2.01%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-13 08:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.45%EV -6.66%E -3.62%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.55%EV -3.92%E -2.01%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-13 08:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -7.17%E -3.92%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -2.44%E -1.23%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 08:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -7.17%E -3.92%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -2.93%E -1.49%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 08:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -7.17%E -3.92%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.41%E -2.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 08:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -7.17%E -3.92%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.41%E -2.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 08:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -7.17%E -3.92%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.41%E -2.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 08:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -7.17%E -3.92%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.41%E -2.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 08:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -7.17%E -3.92%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.41%E -2.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 08:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -7.17%E -3.92%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.41%E -2.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 08:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.17%E -3.92%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.89%E -3.08%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-13 08:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.17%E -3.92%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.89%E -3.08%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-13 08:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.17%E -3.92%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.89%E -3.08%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-13 08:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.68%E -4.22%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -3.92%E -2.01%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 08:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.92%E -2.01%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-13 07:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.89%E -3.08%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-13 07:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.89%E -3.08%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-13 07:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.84%E -4.78%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-13 08:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.69%E -4.83%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.84%E -4.78%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-13 08:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00% | 0.0% | 2026-03-13 08:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00% | 0.0% | 2026-03-13 08:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-03-13 08:10 |