Language:English
Bangladesh v Pakistan
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bangladesh (Local)
Prediction 38.80%2.58fair odd
EV +0.888%
Edge +0.342%
Kelly +0.555%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.55%38.82%37.97%41.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.472.502.6044.44%40.52%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pakistan (Visit)
Prediction 61.20%1.63fair odd
EV -0.861%
Edge -0.532%
Kelly -1.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.82%61.18%62.03%63.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.531.531.6269.44%65.48%65.36%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bangladesh (Local): 38.80%; Pakistan (Visit): 61.20%. For Bangladesh (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.58. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.888%.
Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.888%E +0.342%K +0.555%G +0.005% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 08:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.888%E +0.342%K +0.555%G +0.005% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 08:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.888%E +0.342%K +0.555%G +0.005% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 08:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -1.05%E -0.412%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.82%E -5.92%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 08:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.99%E -1.20%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.37%E -4.16%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.99%E -1.20%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.37%E -4.16%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.99%E -1.20%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.37%E -4.16%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.99%E -1.20%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.37%E -4.16%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.99%E -1.20%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.37%E -4.16%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.99%E -1.20%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.37%E -4.16%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.99%E -1.20%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.37%E -4.16%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.99%E -1.20%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.37%E -4.16%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.99%E -1.20%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.37%E -4.16%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.99%E -1.20%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.37%E -4.16%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.99%E -1.20%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.37%E -4.16%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 08:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.99%E -1.20%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.37%E -4.16%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 08:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.99%E -1.20%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.37%E -4.16%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 08:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.99%E -1.20%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.37%E -4.16%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 08:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.99%E -1.20%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.37%E -4.16%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 08:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.99%E -1.20%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.20%E -5.47%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-15 08:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -2.99%E -1.20%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -11.88%E -8.25%K -26.99%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-15 08:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -4.54%E -1.85%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -6.37%E -4.16%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 08:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.14%E -3.32%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-15 08:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.14%E -3.32%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-15 08:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -11.26%E -7.77%K -25.03%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-15 08:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -11.26%E -7.77%K -25.03%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-15 08:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.65%E -3.21%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.37%E -4.16%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -8.42%E -3.57%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -0.861%E -0.532%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 08:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.75%E -4.68%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.47%E -0.915%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-15 08:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.75%E -4.68%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.09%E -1.30%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 08:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.69%E -5.64%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -3.92%E -2.50%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-15 07:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94% | 0.3% | 2026-03-15 08:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 0.5% | 2026-03-15 08:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 0.6% | 2026-03-15 08:10 |