Language:English
Bangladesh v Pakistan
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bangladesh (Local)
Prediction 45.80%2.18fair odd
EV -0.152%
Edge -0.070%
Kelly -0.129%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.62%45.71%46.28%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.072.102.1851.28%48.32%47.62%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pakistan (Visit)
Prediction 54.20%1.85fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -3.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%54.29%53.72%56.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.731.731.8060.98%57.66%57.80%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bangladesh (Local): 45.80%; Pakistan (Visit): 54.20%. For Bangladesh (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.183. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.180, with an expected value of -0.152%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -0.152%E -0.070%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -6.78%E -3.94%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-11 08:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -2.90%E -1.37%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -11.12%E -6.78%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-11 08:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-11 08:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-11 08:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.24%E -3.61%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 07:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.24%E -3.61%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 07:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.78%E -3.94%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-11 08:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.78%E -3.94%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-11 08:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.78%E -3.94%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-11 08:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.78%E -3.94%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-11 08:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.78%E -3.94%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-11 08:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.78%E -3.94%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-11 08:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.78%E -3.94%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-11 08:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.78%E -3.94%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-11 08:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.78%E -3.94%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-11 08:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.78%E -3.94%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-11 08:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.78%E -3.94%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-11 07:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.07%E -2.30%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 08:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.07%E -2.30%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 08:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.07%E -2.30%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 08:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.61%E -2.62%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 08:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 08:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 08:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 08:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.70%E -3.27%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-11 08:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.70%E -3.27%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-11 08:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 08:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.24%E -3.61%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-11 08:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.24%E -3.61%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-11 08:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -10.69%E -5.48%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.72%EV -8.95%E -5.33%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-11 08:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -10.69%E -5.48%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.72%EV -8.95%E -5.33%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-11 08:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23% | 0.2% | 2026-03-11 08:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23% | 0.2% | 2026-03-11 08:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 0.5% | 2026-03-11 08:10 |