The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Bangladesh v New Zealand

Kickoff: 2026-04-20 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bangladesh (Local)

Prediction 60.55%1.65fair odd
EV -0.094%
Edge -0.057%
Kelly -0.145%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.14%60.63%60.33%62.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.591.571.6566.23%62.83%63.69%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New Zealand (Visit)

Prediction 39.45%2.53fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.549%
Kelly -0.915%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.66%39.37%39.67%42.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.312.302.5045.45%43.31%43.48%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bangladesh (Local): 60.55%; New Zealand (Visit): 39.45%. For Bangladesh (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.652. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.650, with an expected value of -0.094%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -0.094%E -0.057%K -0.145%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -13.21%E -6.00%K -11.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 04:34
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -0.094%E -0.057%K -0.145%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -13.21%E -6.00%K -11.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 04:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -0.094%E -0.057%K -0.145%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -13.21%E -6.00%K -11.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 04:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -0.094%E -0.057%K -0.145%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -13.21%E -6.00%K -11.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 04:35
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -0.094%E -0.057%K -0.145%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -13.21%E -6.00%K -11.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 04:35
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -0.094%E -0.057%K -0.145%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -13.21%E -6.00%K -11.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 04:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -0.094%E -0.057%K -0.145%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -13.21%E -6.00%K -11.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 04:34
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -0.094%E -0.057%K -0.145%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -13.21%E -6.00%K -11.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 04:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -0.094%E -0.057%K -0.145%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -13.21%E -6.00%K -11.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 04:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -0.094%E -0.057%K -0.145%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -13.21%E -6.00%K -11.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 04:35
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.91%E -1.18%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.26%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 04:44
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.91%E -1.18%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.24%E -4.99%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-20 04:55
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.33%E -2.74%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.32%E -2.22%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 04:50
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.33%E -2.74%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.26%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-20 04:55
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.32%E -2.22%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-20 04:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.32%E -2.22%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-20 04:50
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.11%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-20 04:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -6.50%E -2.74%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-20 04:44
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -6.50%E -2.74%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-20 04:50
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-20 04:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 23:04
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.48%EV -5.54%E -3.55%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.52%EV -1.77%E -0.710%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 18:35
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.54%E -3.55%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -5.71%E -2.39%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-20 04:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.27%EV -5.54%E -3.55%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.73%EV -10.45%E -4.60%K -8.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 04:25
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.37%E -0.549%K -0.915%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-20 04:55
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.26%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 04:49
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -7.97%E -5.24%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -9.26%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 04:44
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -7.97%E -5.24%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -9.26%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 04:44
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.57%E -5.68%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.37%E -0.549%K -0.915%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-20 04:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%0.3%2026-04-20 04:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%0.3%2026-04-20 04:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-04-20 04:55