Language:English
Bangladesh v New Zealand
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bangladesh (Local)
Prediction 67.32%1.49fair odd
EV +0.978%
Edge +0.652%
Kelly +1.96%
Growth +0.019%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.41%67.43%67.44%72.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.391.401.5078.13%71.93%71.43%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New Zealand (Visit)
Prediction 32.68%3.06fair odd
EV +11.12%
Edge +3.27%
Kelly +4.63%
Growth +0.515%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.95%32.57%32.56%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.932.853.4038.46%34.10%35.09%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bangladesh (Local): 67.32%; New Zealand (Visit): 32.68%. For New Zealand (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.06. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.12%.
Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -11.14%E -8.44%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +11.12%E +3.27%K +4.63%G +0.515% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 04:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -11.14%E -8.44%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV +7.85%E +2.38%K +3.41%G +0.268% | 6.1% | 2026-04-17 04:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -13.83%E -10.81%K -49.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV +7.85%E +2.38%K +3.41%G +0.268% | 8.4% | 2026-04-17 04:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -9.12%E -6.76%K -26.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +6.21%E +1.91%K +2.76%G +0.172% | 4.8% | 2026-04-17 04:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -9.12%E -6.76%K -26.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +4.58%E +1.43%K +2.08%G +0.095% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 04:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -9.12%E -6.76%K -26.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +4.58%E +1.43%K +2.08%G +0.095% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 04:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -12.49%E -9.60%K -41.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV +2.95%E +0.935%K +1.37%G +0.040% | 8.7% | 2026-04-17 04:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.96%E -0.652%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-17 04:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.42%EV -7.10%E -5.15%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.58%EV -2.28%E -0.764%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 04:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.22%E -1.80%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 04:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.22%E -1.80%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 04:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.88%E -2.04%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 04:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.45%E -6.21%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.88%E -2.04%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-17 04:52 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.20%E -2.16%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 04:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.20%E -2.16%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 04:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.86%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 04:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.86%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 04:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.86%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 04:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.86%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 04:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.86%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 04:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.86%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 04:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.86%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 04:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.86%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 04:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.86%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 04:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.75%E -4.11%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.86%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 04:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.41%E -3.10%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.49%E -3.03%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-17 04:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.41%E -3.10%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.49%E -3.03%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-17 04:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33%EV -1.04%E -0.708%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.67%EV -9.47%E -3.42%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-17 04:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -1.71%E -1.17%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -11.76%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-17 04:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -4.41%E -3.10%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -13.39%E -5.05%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 04:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV +0.978%E +0.652%K +1.96%G +0.019% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -15.03%E -5.78%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 04:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-04-17 04:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-04-17 04:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-04-17 04:54 |