The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Bangladesh v Australia

Kickoff: 2026-06-09 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bangladesh (Local)

Prediction 38.69%2.58fair odd
EV -1.33%
Edge -0.523%
Kelly -0.861%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.13%38.98%38.72%41.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.332.492.502.5542.92%40.24%40.00%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Australia (Visit)

Prediction 61.31%1.63fair odd
EV +0.544%
Edge +0.332%
Kelly +0.851%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 1.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.69%61.02%61.28%62.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.531.531.6466.67%65.37%65.36%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bangladesh (Local): 38.69%; Australia (Visit): 61.31%. For Australia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.63. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.64, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.544%.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -9.85%E -4.23%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV +0.544%E +0.332%K +0.851%G +0.005%3.9%2026-06-08 23:50
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.14%E -2.97%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.36%E -2.79%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-09 04:39
GTbets🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -7.91%E -3.32%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -4.36%E -2.79%K -7.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-09 04:39
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 04:49
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 04:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 04:49
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 04:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 04:49
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 04:49
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 04:49
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 04:39
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 04:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 04:39
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 04:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 04:40
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 04:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 04:40
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 04:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 04:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 04:39
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.33%E -0.523%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.81%E -4.48%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 04:49
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.81%E -4.48%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-09 04:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.43%E -4.92%K -14.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-09 04:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 38.72%EV -7.53%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.28%EV -7.43%E -4.92%K -14.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-09 04:49
SportsBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -1.72%E -0.678%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -8.04%E -5.36%K -16.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-09 04:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.04%E -5.36%K -16.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-09 04:49
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.04%E -5.36%K -16.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-09 04:49
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.04%E -5.36%K -16.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-09 04:38
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%0.2%2026-06-09 04:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89%0.3%2026-06-09 04:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%0.5%2026-06-09 04:49