Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Afghanistan v Zimbabwe

2026-10-19 11:30 UTC — One Day Internationals

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Afghanistan (Local)

Prediction 63.84%1.57fair odd
EV -2.97%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -5.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.19%63.84%63.84%67.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.471.481.5271.43%67.91%67.34%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Zimbabwe (Visit)

Prediction 36.16%2.77fair odd
EV +4.87%
Edge +1.68%
Kelly +2.56%
Growth +0.125%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.56%36.16%36.16%37.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.622.562.9040.00%38.23%39.06%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Afghanistan (Local): 63.84%; Zimbabwe (Visit): 36.16%. For Zimbabwe (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.77. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.90, producing a positive expected value of +4.87%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -10.63%E -7.59%K -26.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +4.87%E +1.68%K +2.56%G +0.125%5.9%2026-10-17 19:50
SportsBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.03%EV -8.71%E -6.09%K -20.26%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%EV +0.533%E +0.192%K +0.299%G +0.002%5.9%2026-10-17 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.07%E -5.61%K -18.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.552%E -0.201%K -0.315%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-17 19:19
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.07%E -5.61%K -18.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.552%E -0.201%K -0.315%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-17 19:20
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.07%E -5.61%K -18.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.552%E -0.201%K -0.315%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-17 19:24
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.07%E -5.61%K -18.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.552%E -0.201%K -0.315%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-17 23:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.36%E -0.874%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 19:20
Neds🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.36%E -0.874%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 19:20
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -10.63%E -7.59%K -26.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -5.25%E -2.01%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-17 19:20
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -10.63%E -7.59%K -26.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -5.25%E -2.01%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-17 19:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.97%E -1.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-17 20:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.97%E -1.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-17 20:10
Unibet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.97%E -1.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-17 20:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -3.61%E -2.39%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 20:10
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -3.61%E -2.39%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 20:10
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -3.61%E -2.39%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 20:10
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -3.61%E -2.39%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -3.61%E -2.39%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 20:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -3.61%E -2.39%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 20:09
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-17 20:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 63.05%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.95%5.7%2026-10-18 00:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 63.05%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.95%5.7%2026-10-18 00:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 64.97%2.56I 39.06%NM 35.03%11.5%2026-10-18 00:55