Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Afghanistan v Zimbabwe

2026-10-23 11:30 UTC — One Day Internationals

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

72%

28%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Afghanistan (Local)

Prediction 71.90%1.39fair odd

EV -6.54%

Edge -5.03%

Kelly -21.79%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

71.90%71.90%71.90%73.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.281.291.291.3078.13%77.52%77.52%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Zimbabwe (Visit)

Prediction 28.10%3.56fair odd

EV +1.18%

Edge +0.327%

Kelly +0.452%

Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

26.23%28.10%28.10%28.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.303.423.403.6030.30%29.22%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Afghanistan (Local): 71.90%; Zimbabwe (Visit): 28.10%. For Zimbabwe (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.56. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.60, producing a positive expected value of +1.18%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
SportsBet🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.97%E -6.23%K -28.48%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV +1.18%E +0.327%K +0.452%G +0.005%	5.9%	2026-10-21 19:00
Coral🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.97%E -6.23%K -28.48%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -1.63%E -0.467%K -0.654%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-10-21 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.97%E -6.23%K -28.48%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -1.63%E -0.467%K -0.654%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-10-21 19:00
Paddy Power🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.54%E -5.03%K -21.79%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.44%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-10-21 19:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.54%E -5.03%K -21.79%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.44%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-10-21 19:10
Neds🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.54%E -5.03%K -21.79%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.44%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-10-21 19:10
Sky Bet🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.25%E -5.62%K -25.02%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -4.44%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-10-22 00:25
Bet Victor🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.25%E -5.62%K -25.02%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-10-21 19:01
betano_uk🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.25%E -5.62%K -25.02%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-10-21 18:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.25I 80.00%NM 56.29%	1.61I 62.11%NM 43.71%	42.1%	2026-10-21 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.25I 80.00%NM 56.29%	1.61I 62.11%NM 43.71%	42.1%	2026-10-21 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.25I 80.00%NM 56.29%	1.61I 62.11%NM 43.71%	42.1%	2026-10-21 23:25