The School of Odds
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Afghanistan v Bangladesh

2026-10-21 11:30 UTC — One Day Internationals

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Afghanistan (Local)

Prediction 55.27%1.81fair odd
EV -4.39%
Edge -2.54%
Kelly -6.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%55.27%55.27%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.711.721.7359.88%58.54%58.14%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bangladesh (Visit)

Prediction 44.73%2.24fair odd
EV -6.06%
Edge -2.89%
Kelly -5.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%44.73%44.73%45.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.102.102.1047.62%47.62%47.62%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Afghanistan (Local): 55.27%; Bangladesh (Visit): 44.73%. For Afghanistan (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.81. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.73, with an expected value of -4.39%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.39%E -2.54%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.06%E -2.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-19 19:45
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.39%E -2.54%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.06%E -2.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-19 19:45
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.39%E -2.54%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.06%E -2.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-19 19:43
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.39%E -2.54%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.06%E -2.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-19 20:29
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.94%E -2.87%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.06%E -2.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-19 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.94%E -2.87%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.06%E -2.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-19 19:45
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.94%E -2.87%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.06%E -2.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-19 19:45
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.06%E -2.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-19 19:45
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.70%E -4.61%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.06%E -2.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-19 19:41
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.70%E -4.61%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.06%E -2.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-19 19:42
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.70%E -4.61%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.06%E -2.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-20 01:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%1.8%2026-10-20 00:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%1.8%2026-10-20 00:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%1.8%2026-10-20 00:30