Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sunrisers Hyderabad v Punjab Kings

Kickoff: 2026-05-06 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sunrisers Hyderabad (Local)

Prediction 46.74%2.14fair odd
EV -1.84%
Edge -0.876%
Kelly -1.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.17%46.74%46.76%48.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.042.052.1050.76%48.96%48.78%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Punjab Kings (Visit)

Prediction 53.26%1.88fair odd
EV -1.47%
Edge -0.797%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.95%53.26%53.24%54.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.761.751.8558.82%56.87%57.31%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sunrisers Hyderabad (Local): 46.74%; Punjab Kings (Visit): 53.26%. For Punjab Kings (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.88. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.85, with an expected value of -1.47%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.84%E -0.876%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.86%E -4.55%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 13:35
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.84%E -0.876%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.86%E -4.55%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 13:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.84%E -0.876%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.86%E -4.55%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 13:35
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.84%E -0.876%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.86%E -4.55%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 13:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.84%E -0.876%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.86%E -4.55%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.84%E -0.876%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.86%E -4.55%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 13:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.84%E -0.876%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.86%E -4.55%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 13:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.84%E -0.876%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.86%E -4.55%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 13:35
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.84%E -0.876%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.86%E -4.55%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 13:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.71%E -1.80%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.67%E -2.61%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.71%E -1.80%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.67%E -2.61%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 13:55
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -3.71%E -1.80%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -9.46%E -5.57%K -13.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 13:34
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.73%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:35
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.73%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.27%E -3.56%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 13:49
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.80%E -3.89%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 13:29
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.47%E -0.797%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 04:54
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 18:00
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 13:50
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 13:39
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 13:45
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 13:43
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.73%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 13:35
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.86%E -4.55%K -10.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 13:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.86%E -4.55%K -10.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 13:45
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.46%E -5.57%K -13.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-06 13:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.45%E -3.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.33%E -4.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 13:35
BetUS🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -7.92%E -4.02%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -7.86%E -4.55%K -10.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-06 13:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-05-06 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-05-06 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-05-06 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-05-06 13:55