The School of Odds
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Sunrisers Hyderabad v Kolkata Knight Riders

Kickoff: 2026-05-03 10:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sunrisers Hyderabad (Local)

Prediction 59.41%1.68fair odd
EV -1.97%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -3.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.59%59.76%59.39%62.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.601.611.6566.67%62.68%62.11%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kolkata Knight Riders (Visit)

Prediction 40.59%2.46fair odd
EV +3.50%
Edge +1.37%
Kelly +2.26%
Growth +0.079%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.04%40.24%40.61%42.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.322.302.5545.45%43.11%43.48%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sunrisers Hyderabad (Local): 59.41%; Kolkata Knight Riders (Visit): 40.59%. For Kolkata Knight Riders (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.50%.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -10.88%E -7.25%K -21.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +3.50%E +1.37%K +2.26%G +0.079%5.9%2026-05-03 08:45
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.88%E -7.25%K -21.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +1.47%E +0.588%K +0.980%G +0.014%6.7%2026-05-03 09:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -4.94%E -3.09%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV +0.252%E +0.102%K +0.172%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 09:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -4.94%E -3.09%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV +0.252%E +0.102%K +0.172%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 09:55
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -9.10%E -5.95%K -17.17%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -0.154%E -0.062%K -0.105%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 05:45
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -4.94%E -3.09%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -1.78%E -0.734%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-03 09:45
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.32%E -4.69%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.62%E -1.97%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 09:40
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.97%E -1.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 09:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.75%E -2.32%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 09:40
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.75%E -2.32%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-30 23:59
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.75%E -2.32%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 09:40
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.35%E -2.70%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 09:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.35%E -2.70%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 09:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.35%E -2.70%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 09:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.35%E -2.70%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 09:55
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.35%E -2.70%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 09:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.35%E -2.70%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 09:55
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.35%E -2.70%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 09:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.35%E -2.70%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 09:55
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.94%E -3.09%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 09:45
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -4.94%E -3.09%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.13%EV -7.05%E -3.08%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 09:50
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.75%E -2.32%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 09:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.75%E -2.32%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 09:45
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.35%E -2.70%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 09:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.35%E -2.70%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 09:45
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.13%E -3.88%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 09:40
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 09:45
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 09:56
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -6.13%E -3.88%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.47%EV -9.49%E -4.26%K -7.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 09:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.75%E -2.32%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.71%E -4.87%K -8.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 09:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-05-03 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-05-03 09:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-05-03 09:50
Matchbook◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-05-03 09:55