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Royal Challengers Bangalore v Lucknow Super Giants

Kickoff: 2026-04-15 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Royal Challengers Bangalore (Local)

Prediction 62.67%1.60fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -5.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.40%62.63%62.63%64.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.501.501.5569.44%66.59%66.67%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lucknow Super Giants (Visit)

Prediction 37.33%2.68fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.406%
Kelly -0.653%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.38%37.37%37.37%38.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.572.602.6540.82%38.98%38.46%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Royal Challengers Bangalore (Local): 62.67%; Lucknow Super Giants (Visit): 37.33%. For Lucknow Super Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.65, with an expected value of -1.08%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -2.86%E -1.85%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -5.93%E -2.35%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 13:55
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.86%E -1.85%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -7.42%E -2.99%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 06:34
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -3.49%E -2.26%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -8.54%E -3.49%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 06:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.11%E -2.69%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.08%E -0.406%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-15 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.11%E -2.69%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.08%E -0.406%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-15 13:55
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.11%E -2.69%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 13:55
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.74%E -3.12%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.74%E -3.12%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 13:35
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.74%E -3.12%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 13:35
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.99%E -4.00%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.20%E -0.839%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 13:35
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.99%E -4.00%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.20%E -0.839%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 13:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.99%E -4.00%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.94%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 13:55
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.99%E -4.00%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.94%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.99%E -4.00%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.94%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 13:55
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.99%E -4.00%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.94%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 13:55
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.99%E -4.00%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.94%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 13:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.99%E -4.00%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.94%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.99%E -4.00%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.94%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.99%E -4.00%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.94%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 13:55
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.99%E -4.00%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.94%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 13:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.99%E -4.00%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.94%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 13:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.62%E -4.44%K -13.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.81%E -1.89%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 13:40
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.64%EV -7.25%E -4.90%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.36%EV -3.32%E -1.28%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 13:55
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.25%E -4.90%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 13:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%EV -7.25%E -4.90%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.56%EV -8.17%E -3.32%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 13:35
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.13%E -6.29%K -20.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-15 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -9.75%E -6.77%K -22.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -1.82%E -0.693%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 13:35
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.75%E -6.77%K -22.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.20%E -0.839%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 13:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-04-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-04-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-04-15 13:55
Matchbook◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-04-15 13:55