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Royal Challengers Bangalore v Chennai Super Kings

Kickoff: 2026-04-05 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Royal Challengers Bangalore (Local)

Prediction 58.13%1.72fair odd
EV -2.93%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -4.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.28%58.08%58.00%59.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.621.611.6764.10%61.90%62.11%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chennai Super Kings (Visit)

Prediction 41.87%2.39fair odd
EV +0.491%
Edge +0.205%
Kelly +0.351%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.21%41.92%42.00%43.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.282.302.4046.51%43.82%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Royal Challengers Bangalore (Local): 58.13%; Chennai Super Kings (Visit): 41.87%. For Chennai Super Kings (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.39. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.491%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -5.83%E -3.60%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +0.491%E +0.205%K +0.351%G +0.002%3.4%2026-04-05 13:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -5.83%E -3.60%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +0.491%E +0.205%K +0.351%G +0.002%3.4%2026-04-05 13:35
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -5.83%E -3.60%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -1.18%E -0.501%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 13:45
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.99%E -4.37%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.44%E -1.05%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.99%E -4.37%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.44%E -1.05%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 13:35
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.99%E -4.37%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.44%E -1.05%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 13:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.99%E -4.37%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.44%E -1.05%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 13:34
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.99%E -4.37%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.44%E -1.05%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 13:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.99%E -4.37%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.44%E -1.05%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 13:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.99%E -4.37%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.44%E -1.05%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 13:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.99%E -4.37%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.44%E -1.05%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 13:35
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -9.32%E -5.97%K -16.64%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.86%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 13:34
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.83%E -3.60%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.70%E -1.61%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 19:09
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.70%E -1.61%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 13:49
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.70%E -1.61%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 13:50
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.09%E -2.48%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.79%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 13:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.09%E -2.48%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.79%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 13:55
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.09%E -2.48%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.79%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 13:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.67%E -2.85%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.79%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 13:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.25%E -3.22%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.79%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 13:55
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.25%E -3.22%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.79%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 13:55
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.83%E -3.60%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.79%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 13:50
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.74%E -5.57%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.79%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 13:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.74%E -5.57%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.79%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 13:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.16%EV -7.58%E -4.76%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 41.84%EV -7.46%E -3.38%K -6.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 13:35
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.93%E -1.75%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 13:40
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.93%E -1.75%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 13:55
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -2.93%E -1.75%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.98%E -4.64%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 13:55
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -8.16%E -5.16%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.98%E -4.64%K -8.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 13:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%0.1%2026-04-05 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%0.1%2026-04-05 13:55
Matchbook◎1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-04-05 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-04-05 13:55