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Rajasthan Royals v Mumbai Indians

Kickoff: 2026-04-07 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rajasthan Royals (Local)

Prediction 43.52%2.30fair odd
EV +0.094%
Edge +0.041%
Kelly +0.072%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.07%43.47%43.60%45.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.172.152.3047.62%46.07%46.51%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mumbai Indians (Visit)

Prediction 56.48%1.77fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -3.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%56.53%56.40%57.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.671.671.7362.50%59.73%59.88%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rajasthan Royals (Local): 43.52%; Mumbai Indians (Visit): 56.48%. For Rajasthan Royals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.298. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.300, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.094%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +0.094%E +0.041%K +0.072%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-06 17:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +0.094%E +0.041%K +0.072%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-06 17:15
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -0.776%E -0.341%K -0.607%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.24%E -3.76%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 12:05
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.26%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 12:45
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.26%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 05:14
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.26%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 09:45
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.26%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 18:40
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.26%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 18:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.26%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.50%E -5.25%K -13.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 13:00
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.26%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.50%E -5.25%K -13.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 13:00
Unibet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 08:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 08:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 08:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 08:15
Grosvenor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 08:15
Casumo🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 08:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 08:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 08:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.55%E -2.69%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-07 13:40
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-07 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 05:09
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 05:09
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 13:54
TABtouch🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 08:15
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.24%E -3.76%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 13:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -7.74%E -3.65%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -7.37%E -4.49%K -11.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-07 11:32
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.61%E -4.10%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.29%E -1.32%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 13:55
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.61%E -4.10%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 13:40
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.61%E -4.10%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -9.63%E -6.02%K -16.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 18:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-04-07 13:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-04-07 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-04-07 13:40
Matchbook◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-04-07 13:40