The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Rajasthan Royals v Lucknow Super Giants

Kickoff: 2026-05-19 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rajasthan Royals (Local)

Prediction 57.86%1.73fair odd
EV -3.37%
Edge -2.02%
Kelly -5.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.28%58.12%57.76%60.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.621.621.6764.10%61.61%61.73%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lucknow Super Giants (Visit)

Prediction 42.14%2.37fair odd
EV +1.55%
Edge +0.644%
Kelly +1.10%
Growth +0.017%

assuming max odds 2.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.75%41.88%42.24%43.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.262.252.4146.51%44.20%44.44%41.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rajasthan Royals (Local): 57.86%; Lucknow Super Giants (Visit): 42.14%. For Lucknow Super Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.37. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.41, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.55%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -7.42%E -4.64%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV +1.55%E +0.644%K +1.10%G +0.017%4.0%2026-05-19 13:40
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.287%E +0.121%K +0.208%G +0.001%5.7%2026-05-19 13:39
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -7.42%E -4.64%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -1.40%E -0.598%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -7.42%E -4.64%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -1.40%E -0.598%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 13:50
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -7.42%E -4.64%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -1.40%E -0.598%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 13:50
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -7.42%E -4.64%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -1.40%E -0.598%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -7.42%E -4.64%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -1.40%E -0.598%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -7.42%E -4.64%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -1.40%E -0.598%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -7.42%E -4.64%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -1.40%E -0.598%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -7.42%E -4.64%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -1.40%E -0.598%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 13:50
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -9.73%E -6.24%K -17.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -3.51%E -1.53%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-19 13:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -3.51%E -1.53%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-19 13:50
BetUS🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -7.42%E -4.64%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.34%EV -4.35%E -1.92%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 13:20
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 09:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 13:50
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 13:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 13:38
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:50
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:50
GTbets🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.95%E -2.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-19 13:50
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 13:50
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.40%E -4.37%K -8.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.40%E -4.37%K -8.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 13:50
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.40%E -4.37%K -8.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 13:50
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.40%E -4.37%K -8.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-19 13:50
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.40%E -4.37%K -8.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-19 13:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-05-19 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-05-19 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-05-19 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-05-19 13:50