The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Rajasthan Royals v Chennai Super Kings

Kickoff: 2026-03-30 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rajasthan Royals (Local)

Prediction 47.38%2.11fair odd
EV -0.505%
Edge -0.240%
Kelly -0.459%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.17%47.22%47.37%48.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.002.002.1051.55%50.00%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chennai Super Kings (Visit)

Prediction 52.62%1.90fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -3.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.19%52.78%52.63%54.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.801.801.8558.14%55.58%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rajasthan Royals (Local): 47.38%; Chennai Super Kings (Visit): 52.62%. For Rajasthan Royals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.11. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -0.505%; they did not produce positive expected value.

3 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -0.505%E -0.240%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-28 02:40
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.505%E -0.240%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.97%E -5.18%K -12.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 14:23
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.505%E -0.240%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.97%E -5.18%K -12.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 14:25
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -1.45%E -0.698%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.91%E -4.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 02:40
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.87%E -1.40%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.91%E -4.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-28 02:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.87%E -1.40%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.91%E -4.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-28 02:40
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.87%E -1.40%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.91%E -4.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-28 02:40
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.87%E -1.40%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.91%E -4.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-26 08:49
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -3.82%E -1.88%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -3.70%E -2.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-25 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.70%E -2.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-17 05:44
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.70%E -2.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-17 05:44
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-24 14:10
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 18:00
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 17:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-23 14:25
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-24 14:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.33%E -3.56%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-25 14:05
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.86%E -3.88%K -8.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-23 17:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.61%E -3.90%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.65%E -1.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 10:39
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.61%E -3.90%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.65%E -1.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 10:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.61%E -3.90%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.65%E -1.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 10:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -7.61%E -3.90%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -7.39%E -4.20%K -9.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-28 02:55
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.87%EV -7.61%E -3.90%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -9.49%E -5.52%K -13.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-26 08:49
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -8.09%E -4.17%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -2.65%E -1.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-24 10:39
Grosvenor🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -8.09%E -4.17%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -2.65%E -1.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-24 10:40
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -8.09%E -4.17%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -2.65%E -1.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-24 10:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -8.09%E -4.17%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -2.65%E -1.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-24 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -8.09%E -4.17%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -2.65%E -1.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-24 10:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -8.09%E -4.17%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -2.65%E -1.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-24 10:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%4.1%2026-03-28 02:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%4.1%2026-03-28 02:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%4.4%2026-03-28 02:25

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (3)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.52%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.06%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.42%15.0%2026-03-26 08:49
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.52%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.06%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.42%15.0%2026-03-26 08:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.52%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.06%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.42%15.0%2026-03-26 08:50