The School of Odds
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Punjab Kings v Royal Challengers Bangalore

Kickoff: 2026-05-17 10:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Punjab Kings (Local)

Prediction 54.80%1.82fair odd
EV +3.03%
Edge +1.61%
Kelly +3.44%
Growth +0.104%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.91%54.79%54.83%56.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.721.711.8860.61%58.06%58.48%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Royal Challengers Bangalore (Visit)

Prediction 45.20%2.21fair odd
EV -0.565%
Edge -0.257%
Kelly -0.471%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.73%45.21%45.17%49.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.102.102.2051.81%47.67%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Punjab Kings (Local): 54.80%; Royal Challengers Bangalore (Visit): 45.20%. For Punjab Kings (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.82. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.03%.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV +3.03%E +1.61%K +3.44%G +0.104%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -11.86%E -6.08%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-17 09:55
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -0.808%E -0.446%K -0.997%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -6.89%E -3.35%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 09:50
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.36%E -0.753%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.60%E -4.80%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 09:24
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -3.55%E -2.02%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -12.77%E -6.62%K -13.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 09:54
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.10%E -2.34%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.08%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 09:50
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.64%E -2.67%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.08%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 09:50
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.19%E -3.00%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.08%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 09:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.19%E -3.00%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.08%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 09:45
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.19%E -3.00%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.08%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 09:50
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.74%E -3.34%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.08%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 09:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.74%E -3.34%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.34%E -3.58%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 09:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.74%E -3.34%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.34%E -3.58%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 09:50
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.74%E -3.34%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.34%E -3.58%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 09:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.29%E -3.68%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.565%E -0.257%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 09:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.29%E -3.68%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.565%E -0.257%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 09:50
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.29%E -3.68%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.08%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 09:45
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.84%E -4.02%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 09:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.84%E -4.02%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 09:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.84%E -4.02%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 09:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.84%E -4.02%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 09:34
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.84%E -4.02%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 09:35
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.84%E -4.02%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 09:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.84%E -4.02%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 09:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.84%E -4.02%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 09:35
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.84%E -4.02%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.08%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 09:45
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.48%E -5.08%K -12.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.08%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 09:35
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.48%E -5.08%K -12.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.08%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 09:35
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -9.58%E -5.80%K -14.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.34%E -3.58%K -7.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 09:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55%0.2%2026-05-17 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55%0.2%2026-05-17 09:55
Matchbook◎1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-05-17 09:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-05-17 09:55