The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Punjab Kings v Mumbai Indians

Kickoff: 2026-05-14 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Punjab Kings (Local)

Prediction 55.30%1.81fair odd
EV -3.23%
Edge -1.84%
Kelly -4.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.09%55.60%55.12%57.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.711.721.7560.61%58.55%58.14%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mumbai Indians (Visit)

Prediction 44.70%2.24fair odd
EV +1.47%
Edge +0.649%
Kelly +1.16%
Growth +0.017%

assuming max odds 2.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.39%44.40%44.88%45.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.122.102.2748.78%47.20%47.62%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Punjab Kings (Local): 55.30%; Mumbai Indians (Visit): 44.70%. For Mumbai Indians (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.27, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.47%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -7.65%E -4.58%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV +1.47%E +0.649%K +1.16%G +0.017%3.9%2026-05-14 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -6.55%E -3.87%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +0.579%E +0.257%K +0.463%G +0.003%3.6%2026-05-14 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -6.55%E -3.87%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +0.579%E +0.257%K +0.463%G +0.003%3.6%2026-05-14 13:55
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.76%E -5.31%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.66%E -0.753%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 13:34
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.23%E -1.84%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.89%E -1.81%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-14 13:55
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.76%E -5.31%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.89%E -1.81%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-14 13:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -8.76%E -5.31%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -5.68%E -2.69%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-14 13:41
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.33%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 13:41
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.33%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 13:55
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.33%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 13:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.33%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 13:45
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.33%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 13:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.33%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.33%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 13:45
Grosvenor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.33%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 13:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.33%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 13:45
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.33%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 13:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.33%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 13:45
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.89%E -2.84%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.89%E -2.84%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 13:50
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.89%E -2.84%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 13:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.44%E -3.18%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 13:55
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.44%E -3.18%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 13:55
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.44%E -3.18%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 13:55
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.65%E -4.58%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 13:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.65%E -4.58%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 13:05
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -5.99%E -3.53%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -7.91%E -3.84%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 13:45
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.78%E -2.17%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.36%E -4.08%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 13:45
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.10%E -4.23%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -8.36%E -4.08%K -7.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-14 13:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55%0.2%2026-05-14 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55%0.2%2026-05-14 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55%0.2%2026-05-14 13:55
Matchbook◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-05-14 13:55