The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Punjab Kings v Lucknow Super Giants

Kickoff: 2026-04-19 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Punjab Kings (Local)

Prediction 59.16%1.69fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.718%
Kelly -1.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.14%59.14%59.17%60.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.601.601.6764.52%62.38%62.50%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lucknow Super Giants (Visit)

Prediction 40.84%2.45fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -0.829%
Kelly -1.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.55%40.86%40.83%42.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.322.322.4045.45%43.19%43.10%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Punjab Kings (Local): 59.16%; Lucknow Super Giants (Visit): 40.84%. For Punjab Kings (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.69. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.67, with an expected value of -1.20%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.20%E -0.718%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-19 13:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.20%E -0.718%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-19 13:55
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.38%E -1.44%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 13:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.57%E -2.19%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 13:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.16%E -2.57%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 13:55
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.16%E -2.57%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 13:31
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.16%E -2.57%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 13:55
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.16%E -2.57%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 13:55
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.75%E -2.95%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.81%E -1.18%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 13:25
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.75%E -2.95%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.21%E -1.36%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 13:55
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.75%E -2.95%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 13:54
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -4.75%E -2.95%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.82%EV -8.52%E -3.81%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 13:55
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.03%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 13:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.03%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.03%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 13:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.03%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 13:35
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.03%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 13:35
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.03%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 13:35
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.03%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 13:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.03%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 13:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.03%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 13:35
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.03%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 13:55
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -6.52%E -4.13%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -4.44%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 13:55
GTbets🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.12%E -4.53%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.99%E -0.829%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 13:55
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.12%E -4.53%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.81%E -1.18%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 13:40
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.12%E -4.53%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 13:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.12%E -4.53%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 13:40
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.12%E -4.53%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.12%E -4.53%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 13:35
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -8.30%E -5.35%K -15.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 13:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-04-19 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-04-19 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-04-19 13:55
Matchbook◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-04-19 13:55