The School of Odds
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Punjab Kings v Delhi Capitals

Kickoff: 2026-05-11 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Punjab Kings (Local)

Prediction 60.03%1.67fair odd
EV -0.943%
Edge -0.572%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.33%59.86%60.13%61.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.571.571.6565.79%63.61%63.69%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Delhi Capitals (Visit)

Prediction 39.97%2.50fair odd
EV -0.486%
Edge -0.195%
Kelly -0.326%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.29%40.14%39.87%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.362.352.4944.44%42.33%42.55%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Punjab Kings (Local): 60.03%; Delhi Capitals (Visit): 39.97%. For Delhi Capitals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.50. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.49, with an expected value of -0.486%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -0.943%E -0.572%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -7.68%E -3.32%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-11 13:50
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.34%E -2.08%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 13:51
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.94%E -2.47%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-11 13:49
BetUS🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -3.94%E -2.47%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.34%EV -9.28%E -4.09%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-11 09:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.55%E -2.86%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -0.486%E -0.195%K -0.326%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-11 13:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.55%E -2.86%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -0.486%E -0.195%K -0.326%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-11 13:49
Unibet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.55%E -2.86%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.55%E -2.86%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 13:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.55%E -2.86%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 13:54
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 13:44
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.88%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 13:20
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -5.28%E -2.23%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 13:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 13:50
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 13:49
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 13:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 13:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 13:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 13:50
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 13:50
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 13:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.08%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 13:49
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -4.48%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 13:49
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 13:50
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.95%E -4.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 13:29
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.15%E -5.32%K -15.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.88%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 13:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.15%E -5.32%K -15.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.88%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 13:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -8.75%E -5.75%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.08%E -0.851%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-11 13:29
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.75%E -5.75%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-11 13:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%0.3%2026-05-11 13:54
Matchbook◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%0.3%2026-05-11 13:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-05-11 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-05-11 13:49