The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Mumbai Indians v Royal Challengers Bangalore

Kickoff: 2026-04-12 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mumbai Indians (Local)

Prediction 58.09%1.72fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -3.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.12%58.20%58.01%60.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.641.641.6863.69%61.08%60.98%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Royal Challengers Bangalore (Visit)

Prediction 41.91%2.39fair odd
EV +0.574%
Edge +0.239%
Kelly +0.410%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.75%41.80%41.99%43.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.112.242.252.4047.39%44.60%44.44%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mumbai Indians (Local): 58.09%; Royal Challengers Bangalore (Visit): 41.91%. For Royal Challengers Bangalore (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.39. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.574%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +0.574%E +0.239%K +0.410%G +0.002%3.4%2026-04-12 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +0.574%E +0.239%K +0.410%G +0.002%3.4%2026-04-12 13:55
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.265%E -0.111%K -0.192%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 13:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.62%E -1.57%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 13:50
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -2.98%E -1.79%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -4.46%E -1.95%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-12 13:45
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.71%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 13:50
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.73%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.71%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.73%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.71%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 13:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.73%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.71%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 13:35
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.73%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.71%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 13:34
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.73%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.71%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 13:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.73%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.71%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 13:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.73%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.71%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 13:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.73%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.71%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 13:35
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.73%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.71%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 13:35
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.71%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 13:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.71%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 13:50
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.71%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 13:50
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -8.21%E -5.20%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -5.71%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 13:55
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.98%E -1.79%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 13:50
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.98%E -1.79%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:45
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 13:55
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 06:39
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 13:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 13:50
GTbets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -9.90%E -4.61%K -8.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -2.98%E -1.79%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.90%E -4.61%K -8.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 13:50
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -2.98%E -1.79%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.90%E -4.61%K -8.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 13:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -11.58%E -5.49%K -10.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 13:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-04-12 13:55
Matchbook◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-04-12 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-04-12 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-04-12 13:55