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Mumbai Indians v Rajasthan Royals

Kickoff: 2026-05-24 10:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mumbai Indians (Local)

Prediction 47.48%2.11fair odd
EV -3.61%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -3.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.24%47.53%47.39%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.982.002.0354.64%50.43%50.00%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rajasthan Royals (Visit)

Prediction 52.52%1.90fair odd
EV -2.84%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -3.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.47%52.61%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.801.801.8558.14%55.67%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mumbai Indians (Local): 47.48%; Rajasthan Royals (Visit): 52.52%. For Rajasthan Royals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.90. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.85, with an expected value of -2.84%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -3.61%E -1.78%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -3.89%E -2.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 09:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.89%E -2.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 09:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.89%E -2.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 09:49
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 09:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 09:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 09:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 09:40
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 09:40
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 09:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 09:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 09:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 09:40
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 09:49
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 09:50
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 09:50
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 09:50
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 09:49
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.04%E -3.98%K -9.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 09:40
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.14%E -5.29%K -12.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 09:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.14%E -5.29%K -12.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 09:49
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -9.67%E -5.62%K -13.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 09:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.94%E -3.54%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 09:50
Neds🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.94%E -3.54%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 09:49
TABtouch🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -6.94%E -3.54%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -7.04%E -3.98%K -9.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 09:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.42%E -2.43%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 09:50
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 09:50
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -8.36%E -4.33%K -8.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -2.84%E -1.54%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 09:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -8.36%E -4.33%K -8.99%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -6.52%E -3.66%K -8.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 09:49
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -13.11%E -7.16%K -15.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -3.89%E -2.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 03:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-05-24 09:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-05-24 09:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-05-24 09:50
Matchbook◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-05-24 09:50