The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Mumbai Indians v Punjab Kings

Kickoff: 2026-04-16 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mumbai Indians (Local)

Prediction 52.62%1.90fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.567%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.30%52.61%52.63%54.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.791.801.8858.82%55.83%55.56%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Punjab Kings (Visit)

Prediction 47.38%2.11fair odd
EV -0.512%
Edge -0.244%
Kelly -0.465%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.17%47.39%47.37%48.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.002.002.1051.28%50.07%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mumbai Indians (Local): 52.62%; Punjab Kings (Visit): 47.38%. For Punjab Kings (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.11. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -0.512%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -1.07%E -0.567%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -6.20%E -3.13%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-16 13:55
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.70%E -2.02%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.62%E -3.91%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 13:54
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.70%E -2.02%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.62%E -3.91%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.22%E -2.32%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.30%E -2.13%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-16 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.22%E -2.32%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.30%E -2.13%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-16 13:55
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.25%E -2.62%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 13:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.25%E -2.62%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 13:55
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.25%E -2.62%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 13:34
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.25%E -2.62%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 13:35
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.25%E -2.62%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 13:34
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.25%E -2.62%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 13:55
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.25%E -2.62%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.25%E -2.62%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 13:35
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.25%E -2.62%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 13:35
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.25%E -2.62%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 13:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.25%E -2.62%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 13:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.25%E -2.62%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 13:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.25%E -2.62%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 13:35
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.25%E -2.62%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 13:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.25%E -2.62%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 13:35
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.14%E -3.65%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.14%E -3.65%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 13:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.33%E -3.56%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.25%E -2.62%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 13:55
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.85%E -3.87%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.25%E -2.62%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 13:35
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.96%E -5.18%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.512%E -0.244%K -0.465%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 08:00
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.96%E -5.18%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.25%E -2.62%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.96%E -5.18%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.25%E -2.62%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 13:45
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -9.49%E -5.51%K -13.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.87%EV -7.62%E -3.91%K -8.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-16 13:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.42%EV -10.54%E -6.20%K -15.05%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.58%EV -3.83%E -1.89%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-16 13:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-04-16 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-04-16 13:55
Matchbook◎1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-04-16 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-04-16 13:55