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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Mumbai Indians v Lucknow Super Giants

开赛时间： 2026-05-04 14:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

29 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Mumbai Indians (主队)

预测 60.18%1.66公平赔率
EV -2.52%
优势 -1.55%
Kelly -4.06%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.62

博彩公司预测分布
58.67%60.08%60.30%62.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.501.561.551.6266.67%64.24%64.52%61.73%最小值均值中位数最大值

Lucknow Super Giants (客队)

预测 39.82%2.51公平赔率
EV -0.438%
优势 -0.175%
Kelly -0.292%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.50

博彩公司预测分布
37.97%39.92%39.70%41.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.272.412.402.5044.05%41.42%41.67%40.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Mumbai Indians (主队)：60.18%；Lucknow Super Giants (客队)：39.82%。 对于“Lucknow Super Giants (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.51。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.50，期望值为-0.438%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (29 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.52%E -1.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 02:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.43%E -0.991%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-04 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.43%E -0.991%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-04 13:55
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.22%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-04 13:55
GTbets🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.72%E -2.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-04 03:55
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.32%E -2.72%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-04 03:55
BetUS🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -4.92%E -3.12%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -7.61%E -3.28%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-04 05:05
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -0.438%E -0.175%K -0.292%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-04 13:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 13:55
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 13:39
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.22%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-04 13:45
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-04 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-04 13:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.27%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.73%EV -9.60%E -4.23%K -7.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-04 13:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-04 13:50
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-04 13:34
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -7.33%E -4.76%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -3.23%E -1.33%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-04 13:50
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.93%E -5.18%K -14.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.438%E -0.175%K -0.292%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 13:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.93%E -5.18%K -14.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.438%E -0.175%K -0.292%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.93%E -5.18%K -14.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.438%E -0.175%K -0.292%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.93%E -5.18%K -14.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.438%E -0.175%K -0.292%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.93%E -5.18%K -14.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.438%E -0.175%K -0.292%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 13:50
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.93%E -5.18%K -14.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.438%E -0.175%K -0.292%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.93%E -5.18%K -14.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.438%E -0.175%K -0.292%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 13:50
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.93%E -5.18%K -14.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.438%E -0.175%K -0.292%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 13:50
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.93%E -5.18%K -14.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-04 13:50
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.93%E -5.18%K -14.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.22%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-04 13:38
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.74%E -6.49%K -19.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -2.43%E -0.991%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-04 13:49
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.74%E -6.49%K -19.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 13:45
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%0.1%2026-05-04 13:55
Matchbook◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-05-04 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-05-04 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-05-04 13:55