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Mumbai Indians v Kolkata Knight Riders

Kickoff: 2026-03-29 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mumbai Indians (Local)

Prediction 62.34%1.60fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -4.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.03%62.60%62.33%63.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.521.521.5668.97%65.89%65.79%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kolkata Knight Riders (Visit)

Prediction 37.66%2.66fair odd
EV +0.181%
Edge +0.068%
Kelly +0.109%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.06%37.40%37.67%37.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.532.502.6641.67%39.57%40.00%37.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mumbai Indians (Local): 62.34%; Kolkata Knight Riders (Visit): 37.66%. For Kolkata Knight Riders (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.655. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.660, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.181%.

3 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -6.49%E -4.33%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV +0.181%E +0.068%K +0.109%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-25 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -6.49%E -4.33%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -0.949%E -0.361%K -0.582%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 02:40
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.49%E -4.33%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -1.33%E -0.506%K -0.818%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 02:40
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.49%E -4.33%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -1.33%E -0.506%K -0.818%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 02:39
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.49%E -4.33%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.08%E -0.800%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 18:04
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.64%EV -7.74%E -5.23%K -16.12%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.36%EV -2.46%E -0.948%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-28 02:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.75%E -1.76%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.21%E -1.25%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-23 15:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.75%E -1.76%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.21%E -1.25%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-23 15:10
GTbets🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -5.25%E -3.45%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -3.59%E -1.40%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 17:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.25%E -3.45%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.96%E -1.55%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 15:10
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.62%E -3.02%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.85%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 15:44
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.62%E -3.02%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.85%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 15:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.62%E -3.02%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.85%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 12:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.62%E -3.02%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.85%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 12:44
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.62%E -3.02%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.85%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 12:44
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.62%E -3.02%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.85%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 12:44
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.62%E -3.02%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.85%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 12:49
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.62%E -3.02%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.85%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 12:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.62%E -3.02%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.85%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 12:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.62%E -3.02%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.85%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 12:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.62%E -3.02%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.85%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 12:44
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.62%E -3.02%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.85%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 12:23
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.25%E -3.45%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.85%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-26 12:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.25%E -3.45%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.85%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-26 12:24
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.25%E -3.45%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.85%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-26 08:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.25%E -3.45%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.85%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-25 15:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%EV -7.74%E -5.23%K -16.12%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.56%EV -7.35%E -2.99%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-28 02:55
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.49%E -4.33%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.73%E -3.15%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-25 15:10
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -9.61%E -6.63%K -21.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.61%E -4.00%K -6.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-27 09:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-03-28 02:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-03-28 02:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-03-28 02:15

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (3)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.96%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.40%15.9%2026-03-27 09:54
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.96%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.40%15.9%2026-03-27 09:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.96%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.40%15.9%2026-03-27 09:54