Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lucknow Super Giants v Royal Challengers Bangalore

Kickoff: 2026-05-07 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lucknow Super Giants (Local)

Prediction 33.75%2.96fair odd
EV +1.25%
Edge +0.416%
Kelly +0.624%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.13%33.84%33.73%38.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.782.753.0040.82%35.93%36.36%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Royal Challengers Bangalore (Visit)

Prediction 66.25%1.51fair odd
EV +1.36%
Edge +0.891%
Kelly +2.57%
Growth +0.035%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.56%66.16%66.27%67.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.431.421.5373.53%70.03%70.42%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lucknow Super Giants (Local): 33.75%; Royal Challengers Bangalore (Visit): 66.25%. For Royal Challengers Bangalore (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.51. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.53, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.36%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetUS🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -17.31%E -7.07%K -11.94%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV +1.36%E +0.891%K +2.57%G +0.035%6.2%2026-05-07 13:55
Pinnacle🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.48%EV -8.54%E -3.15%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.52%EV -1.29%E -0.863%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-07 13:50
Betway🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.81%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.94%E -2.71%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 13:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.94%E -2.71%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 13:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.94%E -2.71%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 13:44
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.94%E -2.71%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 13:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 13:44
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 13:45
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 13:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.60%E -3.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 13:45
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 13:50
GTbets🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 13:53
LowVig.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +1.25%E +0.416%K +0.624%G +0.008%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.92%E -4.17%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-07 13:54
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +1.25%E +0.416%K +0.624%G +0.008%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.92%E -4.17%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-07 13:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.81%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.92%E -4.17%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 13:45
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.92%E -4.17%K -14.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.92%E -4.17%K -14.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 13:50
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.92%E -4.17%K -14.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 13:50
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.92%E -4.17%K -14.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 13:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -10.56%E -3.99%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -5.92%E -4.17%K -14.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 13:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.81%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.59%E -4.67%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 13:55
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.13%E -0.734%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 13:50
SportsBet🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.63%EV -2.46%E -0.853%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.37%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 13:50
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -3.14%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 13:45
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 13:45
theScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 13:45
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 13:50
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -3.81%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-07 13:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-05-07 13:50