The School of Odds
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Lucknow Super Giants v Rajasthan Royals

Kickoff: 2026-04-22 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lucknow Super Giants (Local)

Prediction 45.03%2.22fair odd
EV -3.19%
Edge -1.49%
Kelly -2.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%45.08%45.03%46.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.082.082.1550.00%47.99%47.96%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rajasthan Royals (Visit)

Prediction 54.97%1.82fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -3.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.95%54.92%54.97%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.731.731.7759.88%57.88%57.64%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lucknow Super Giants (Local): 45.03%; Rajasthan Royals (Visit): 54.97%. For Rajasthan Royals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.77, with an expected value of -2.70%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.19%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.34%E -2.50%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-22 13:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.45%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.70%E -1.52%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 13:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.45%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.70%E -1.52%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 13:39
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.45%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.80%E -2.17%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 13:54
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.45%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 13:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.45%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 13:54
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.45%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 13:38
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.45%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.44%E -3.17%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.45%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.44%E -3.17%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 13:54
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.45%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.99%E -3.51%K -8.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 12:29
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.45%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.99%E -3.51%K -8.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 13:55
GTbets🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.45%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.54%E -3.85%K -9.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 13:54
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.45%E -2.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.19%E -4.91%K -12.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 13:39
BetUS🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.41%EV -5.90%E -2.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.59%EV -8.19%E -4.91%K -12.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 13:44
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.35%E -3.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.80%E -2.17%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 13:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.35%E -3.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.80%E -2.17%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 13:34
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.35%E -3.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.80%E -2.17%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 13:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.35%E -3.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.80%E -2.17%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 13:34
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.35%E -3.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.80%E -2.17%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 13:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.35%E -3.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.80%E -2.17%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 13:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.35%E -3.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.80%E -2.17%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 13:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.35%E -3.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.80%E -2.17%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 13:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -6.80%E -3.28%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -8.19%E -4.91%K -12.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 13:34
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.70%E -3.75%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.80%E -2.17%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 13:39
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.70%E -3.75%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.80%E -2.17%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 13:43
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.70%E -3.75%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.54%E -3.85%K -9.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 13:39
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -8.15%E -3.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -5.99%E -3.51%K -8.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 13:34
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -9.95%E -4.97%K -9.95%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -7.64%E -4.55%K -11.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 13:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%0.1%2026-04-22 13:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%0.2%2026-04-22 13:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-04-22 13:54
Matchbook◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-04-22 13:54