The School of Odds
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Lucknow Super Giants v Punjab Kings

Kickoff: 2026-05-23 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lucknow Super Giants (Local)

Prediction 35.27%2.83fair odd
EV +1.24%
Edge +0.430%
Kelly +0.661%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 2.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.86%35.29%35.54%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.492.712.702.8740.16%36.86%37.04%34.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Punjab Kings (Visit)

Prediction 64.73%1.54fair odd
EV -0.969%
Edge -0.633%
Kelly -1.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%64.71%64.46%67.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.451.451.5371.43%68.95%68.97%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lucknow Super Giants (Local): 35.27%; Punjab Kings (Visit): 64.73%. For Lucknow Super Giants (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.83. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.87, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.24%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV +1.24%E +0.430%K +0.661%G +0.008%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -6.79%E -4.72%K -15.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 13:50
SportsBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.86%EV +0.883%E +0.309%K +0.475%G +0.004%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.14%EV -9.38%E -6.70%K -23.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 13:49
Betway🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV +0.530%E +0.186%K +0.286%G +0.002%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -6.15%E -4.24%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 13:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.23%E -0.441%K -0.685%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.79%E -4.72%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 13:49
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.23%E -0.441%K -0.685%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.44%E -5.20%K -17.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 13:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.00%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.15%E -4.24%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 13:49
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.00%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.15%E -4.24%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 13:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -3.00%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.44%E -5.20%K -17.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 13:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.00%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.38%E -6.70%K -23.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 13:39
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.00%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.38%E -6.70%K -23.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 13:39
BetUS🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.00%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.38%E -6.70%K -23.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 13:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -4.76%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -2.26%E -1.50%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-23 13:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -4.76%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -2.26%E -1.50%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-23 13:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.76%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.50%E -3.77%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 13:39
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.76%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.50%E -3.77%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 13:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.76%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.50%E -3.77%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 13:39
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.76%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.15%E -4.24%K -13.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 13:49
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.76%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.15%E -4.24%K -13.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 13:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.76%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.15%E -4.24%K -13.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 13:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.76%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.15%E -4.24%K -13.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 13:39
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.76%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.15%E -4.24%K -13.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 13:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.76%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.15%E -4.24%K -13.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 13:39
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -4.76%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.38%E -6.70%K -23.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 13:49
Pinnacle🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV -6.17%E -2.32%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -2.91%E -1.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 13:50
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.79%E -4.72%K -15.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 13:49
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.44%E -5.20%K -17.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 13:39
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.29%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.91%E -1.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 13:38
GTbets🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -10.05%E -3.94%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -0.969%E -0.633%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-23 13:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.12%EV -12.17%E -4.89%K -8.17%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.88%EV -4.85%E -3.30%K -10.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-23 13:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-05-23 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-05-23 13:50
Matchbook◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-05-23 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-05-23 13:50