The School of Odds
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Lucknow Super Giants v Gujarat Titans

Kickoff: 2026-04-12 10:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lucknow Super Giants (Local)

Prediction 45.67%2.19fair odd
EV -1.36%
Edge -0.629%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.00%45.70%45.68%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.092.102.1650.51%47.90%47.62%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gujarat Titans (Visit)

Prediction 54.33%1.84fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -2.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%54.30%54.32%56.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.731.731.8060.61%57.65%57.80%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lucknow Super Giants (Local): 45.67%; Gujarat Titans (Visit): 54.33%. For Lucknow Super Giants (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.16, with an expected value of -1.36%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -1.36%E -0.629%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -5.46%E -3.14%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-12 09:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -1.36%E -0.629%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -5.46%E -3.14%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-12 09:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.82%E -0.844%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.18%E -4.84%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 09:50
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.20%E -1.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 09:49
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.92%E -2.81%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 09:49
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.00%E -3.47%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 09:54
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.00%E -3.47%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 09:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.00%E -3.47%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 09:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.00%E -3.47%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 09:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.00%E -3.47%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 09:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.00%E -3.47%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 09:55
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.00%E -3.47%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 09:54
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.00%E -3.47%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 09:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.00%E -3.47%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 09:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.00%E -3.47%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 09:55
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.00%E -3.47%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 09:39
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.63%E -4.49%K -10.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 09:55
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.26%E -5.55%K -13.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 09:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.26%E -5.55%K -13.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 09:40
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -10.35%E -6.27%K -15.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 09:53
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.13%EV -4.56%E -2.18%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.87%EV -2.74%E -1.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-12 08:40
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.01%E -2.41%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.92%E -2.81%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 09:49
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.38%E -3.11%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.83%E -2.16%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 08:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.38%E -3.11%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.92%E -2.81%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 09:50
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.38%E -3.11%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.92%E -2.81%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 09:50
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.38%E -3.11%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.46%E -3.14%K -7.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 09:55
GTbets🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -7.75%E -3.84%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -3.83%E -2.16%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 08:45
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.67%E -4.33%K -8.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.20%E -1.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 09:31
Marathon Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -9.58%E -4.84%K -9.77%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -5.46%E -3.14%K -7.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 09:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%0.2%2026-04-12 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%0.3%2026-04-12 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-04-12 09:55
Matchbook◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-04-12 09:55