Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.00
assuming max odds 1.92
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kolkata Knight Riders (Local): 49.17%; Mumbai Indians (Visit): 50.83%. For Kolkata Knight Riders (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.03. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.00, with an expected value of -1.66%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.66%E -0.832%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.96%E -3.22%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-20 13:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -1.66%E -0.832%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -9.01%E -5.03%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-20 13:38 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -1.66%E -0.832%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -10.03%E -5.67%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-20 13:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-20 13:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.12%E -2.11%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-20 13:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -5.60%E -2.92%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -9.01%E -5.03%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-20 13:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-20 13:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-20 13:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 13:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.46%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.42%E -1.80%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 13:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.46%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.42%E -1.80%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 13:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.46%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.42%E -1.80%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 13:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.46%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.42%E -1.80%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 13:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.46%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.42%E -1.80%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 13:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.46%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.42%E -1.80%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 13:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.46%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.42%E -1.80%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 13:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.46%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.42%E -1.80%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 13:48 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.07%E -3.74%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.08%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 13:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.07%E -3.74%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.08%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 13:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.07%E -3.74%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.08%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 13:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.07%E -3.74%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.08%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 13:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.07%E -3.74%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.08%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 13:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.56%E -4.02%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.40%E -1.25%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 13:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.32%EV -8.06%E -4.31%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.68%EV -7.49%E -4.11%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-20 13:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -8.06%E -4.31%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-20 13:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.04%E -4.89%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.96%E -3.22%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-20 13:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.04%E -4.89%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.96%E -3.22%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-20 13:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -10.02%E -5.48%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-20 13:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -10.02%E -5.48%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-20 13:49 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 0.3% | 2026-05-20 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 0.3% | 2026-05-20 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 0.5% | 2026-05-20 13:49 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-05-20 13:49 |