Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kolkata Knight Riders v Lucknow Super Giants

Kickoff: 2026-04-09 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

48%

52%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kolkata Knight Riders (Local)

Prediction 48.18%2.08fair odd

EV +1.18%

Edge +0.560%

Kelly +1.07%

Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

45.74%47.92%48.33%49.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.901.972.002.1052.63%50.68%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lucknow Super Giants (Visit)

Prediction 51.82%1.93fair odd

EV -3.61%

Edge -1.94%

Kelly -4.20%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

50.94%52.08%51.67%54.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.731.811.801.8657.80%55.30%55.56%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kolkata Knight Riders (Local): 48.18%; Lucknow Super Giants (Visit): 51.82%. For Kolkata Knight Riders (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.08. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.18%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
LowVig.ag🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +1.18%E +0.560%K +1.07%G +0.013%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -8.28%E -4.68%K -10.75%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-04-09 13:50
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +1.18%E +0.560%K +1.07%G +0.013%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -8.28%E -4.68%K -10.75%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-04-09 13:50
Pinnacle🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -1.23%E -0.602%K -1.17%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -5.69%E -3.12%K -6.93%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-04-09 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -1.23%E -0.602%K -1.17%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -10.35%E -5.98%K -14.18%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-04-09 13:45
Unibet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.64%E -1.82%K -3.64%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-04-09 13:55
Casumo🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.64%E -1.82%K -3.64%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-04-09 13:55
Virgin Bet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.64%E -1.82%K -3.64%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-04-09 13:55
Grosvenor🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.64%E -1.82%K -3.64%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-04-09 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.64%E -1.82%K -3.64%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-04-09 13:55
TABtouch🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.64%E -1.82%K -3.64%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-04-09 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.64%E -1.82%K -3.64%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-04-09 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.64%E -1.82%K -3.64%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-04-09 13:55
BoyleSports🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.64%E -1.82%K -3.64%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-04-09 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.64%E -1.82%K -3.64%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-04-09 13:55
William Hill🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.64%E -1.82%K -3.64%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-04-08 16:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.05%E -3.10%K -6.37%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.13%E -2.23%K -4.86%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-04-09 13:55
Betway🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.05%E -3.10%K -6.37%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.13%E -2.23%K -4.86%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-04-09 13:55
TAB🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.05%E -3.10%K -6.37%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.13%E -2.23%K -4.86%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-04-09 13:49
GTbets🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.05%E -3.10%K -6.37%G +0.000%	1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -6.20%E -3.43%K -7.66%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-04-09 13:55
SportsBet🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.53%E -3.37%K -6.95%G +0.000%	1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.61%E -1.94%K -4.20%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-04-09 13:55
Marathon Bet🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -7.01%E -3.63%K -7.54%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.76%E -4.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-04-09 13:55
theScore Bet🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.17%E -2.82%K -6.23%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-04-09 13:55
Coral🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.17%E -2.82%K -6.23%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-04-09 13:55
DraftKings🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.17%E -2.82%K -6.23%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-04-09 13:55
Paddy Power🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-04-09 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-04-09 13:55
Neds🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -8.46%E -4.45%K -9.40%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.17%E -2.82%K -6.23%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-04-09 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -8.46%E -4.45%K -9.40%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.17%E -2.82%K -6.23%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-04-09 13:55
NordicBet🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.46%E -4.45%K -9.40%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-04-09 13:55

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%	1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%	0.3%	2026-04-09 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%	1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%	0.3%	2026-04-09 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%	1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%	0.6%	2026-04-09 13:55
Matchbook◎	2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%	1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%	0.6%	2026-04-09 13:55