Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.30
assuming max odds 1.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kolkata Knight Riders (Local): 42.71%; Gujarat Titans (Visit): 57.29%. For Gujarat Titans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.75. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.13%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -14.59%E -7.29%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +3.13%E +1.74%K +3.91%G +0.122% | 5.6% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -11.17%E -5.37%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -0.883%E -0.511%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -5.19%E -2.34%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -2.60%E -1.53%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.04%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.60%E -1.53%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.58%EV -13.30%E -6.55%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.42%EV -2.60%E -1.53%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.77%E -0.771%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.32%E -2.59%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.77%E -0.771%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.32%E -2.59%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.04%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.32%E -2.59%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.18%E -3.80%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.32%E -2.59%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.18%E -3.80%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.32%E -2.59%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.18%E -3.80%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.32%E -2.59%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.04%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.47%E -3.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.04%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.47%E -3.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.91%E -1.74%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.04%E -3.68%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.91%E -1.74%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.04%E -3.68%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.91%E -1.74%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.04%E -3.68%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.91%E -1.74%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.04%E -3.68%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.91%E -1.74%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.04%E -3.68%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.91%E -1.74%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.04%E -3.68%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.91%E -1.74%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.04%E -3.68%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.91%E -1.74%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.04%E -3.68%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.91%E -1.74%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.04%E -3.68%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -8.61%E -4.02%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -6.61%E -4.06%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.77%E -0.771%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.19%E -4.44%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.91%E -1.74%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.19%E -4.44%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.04%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.19%E -4.44%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.04%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.19%E -4.44%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -3.91%E -1.74%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.76%E -4.82%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.04%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.76%E -4.82%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -6.04%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -9.48%E -6.00%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 0.5% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 0.5% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |