The School of Odds
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Gujarat Titans v Rajasthan Royals

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gujarat Titans (Local)

Prediction 47.22%2.12fair odd
EV -0.832%
Edge -0.396%
Kelly -0.756%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%47.80%47.24%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.832.012.002.1054.64%49.83%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rajasthan Royals (Visit)

Prediction 52.78%1.89fair odd
EV +5.55%
Edge +2.78%
Kelly +5.55%
Growth +0.308%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%52.20%52.76%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.791.802.0059.88%55.73%55.56%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gujarat Titans (Local): 47.22%; Rajasthan Royals (Visit): 52.78%. For Rajasthan Royals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.55%.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -13.58%E -7.42%K -16.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +5.55%E +2.78%K +5.55%G +0.308%4.6%2026-04-04 13:40
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.61%E -2.28%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.42%E -1.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -5.08%E -2.53%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -3.42%E -1.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 13:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -5.08%E -2.53%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -3.42%E -1.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 13:49
GTbets🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.42%E -1.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 13:45
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -0.832%E -0.396%K -0.756%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 13:50
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 13:43
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 13:49
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 13:49
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 13:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 13:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 13:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 13:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 13:49
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 13:40
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 13:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 13:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -10.28%E -5.41%K -11.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 13:49
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.06%E -3.40%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 13:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.58%E -3.72%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 13:45
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.58%E -3.72%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 13:44
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.58%E -3.72%K -8.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 13:44
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.58%E -3.72%K -8.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 13:44
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -7.11%E -4.04%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 13:44
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -7.11%E -4.04%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 13:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.64%E -4.37%K -10.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 13:50
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.87%EV -7.92%E -4.06%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -9.22%E -5.36%K -12.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 13:49
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -0.832%E -0.396%K -0.756%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -11.86%E -7.10%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 13:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-04-04 13:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-04-04 13:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-04-04 13:50
Matchbook◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-04-04 13:49