The School of Odds
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Gujarat Titans v Punjab Kings

Kickoff: 2026-05-03 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gujarat Titans (Local)

Prediction 46.28%2.16fair odd
EV -0.504%
Edge -0.234%
Kelly -0.438%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.87%46.27%46.49%47.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.032.012.1551.28%49.26%49.75%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Punjab Kings (Visit)

Prediction 53.72%1.86fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -2.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.11%53.73%53.51%55.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.771.771.8258.48%56.62%56.50%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gujarat Titans (Local): 46.28%; Punjab Kings (Visit): 53.72%. For Gujarat Titans (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.16. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.15, with an expected value of -0.504%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -0.504%E -0.234%K -0.438%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -5.99%E -3.42%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-03 13:45
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.82%E -1.34%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.06%E -4.08%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 13:43
GTbets🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.82%E -1.34%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.13%E -4.76%K -11.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 13:50
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.82%E -1.34%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.13%E -4.76%K -11.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.13%E -2.50%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.30%E -1.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.13%E -2.50%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.30%E -1.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 13:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.13%E -2.50%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.91%E -2.77%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 13:40
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.13%E -2.50%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.91%E -2.77%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 13:40
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.13%E -2.50%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.91%E -2.77%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 13:40
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.13%E -2.50%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.91%E -2.77%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 13:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.13%E -2.50%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.91%E -2.77%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.13%E -2.50%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.91%E -2.77%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 13:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.13%E -2.50%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.91%E -2.77%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 13:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.13%E -2.50%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.91%E -2.77%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 13:40
BetUS🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 45.97%EV -6.98%E -3.47%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.03%EV -8.13%E -4.76%K -11.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 13:55
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.30%E -1.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.30%E -1.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 13:55
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.30%E -1.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 13:55
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.30%E -1.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 13:40
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.30%E -1.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 13:40
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.30%E -1.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 13:54
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.91%E -2.77%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 13:40
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.06%E -4.08%K -9.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.06%E -4.08%K -9.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 13:40
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.06%E -4.08%K -9.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 13:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.60%E -4.42%K -10.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 13:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -8.37%E -4.23%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -2.22%E -1.22%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 13:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -8.37%E -4.23%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -3.30%E -1.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 13:55
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.76%E -5.00%K -10.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.99%E -3.42%K -7.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 13:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%0.3%2026-05-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%0.3%2026-05-03 13:55
Matchbook◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%0.3%2026-05-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-05-03 13:55