Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.02
assuming max odds 2.15
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gujarat Titans (Local): 50.99%; Mumbai Indians (Visit): 49.01%. For Mumbai Indians (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.37%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -13.32%E -7.83%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV +5.37%E +2.50%K +4.67%G +0.251% | 5.3% | 2026-04-20 13:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -7.20%E -3.96%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -2.96%E -1.49%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-20 13:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.67%E -3.07%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.43%E -2.27%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-20 13:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.67%E -3.07%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.43%E -2.27%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-20 13:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.67%E -3.07%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.43%E -2.27%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-20 13:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.67%E -3.07%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.43%E -2.27%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-20 13:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.69%E -3.66%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.43%E -2.27%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-20 13:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.22%E -4.57%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.43%E -2.27%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-20 13:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.77%E -6.15%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -4.43%E -2.27%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-20 13:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.67%E -3.07%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.92%E -2.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-20 13:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.67%E -3.07%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.92%E -2.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-20 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.63%E -1.92%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.41%E -2.80%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-20 13:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.63%E -1.92%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.41%E -2.80%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-20 13:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.67%E -3.07%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.41%E -2.80%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-20 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.67%E -3.07%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.41%E -2.80%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-20 13:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.14%E -2.20%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.90%E -3.07%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-20 13:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.65%E -2.49%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.39%E -3.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-20 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.69%E -3.66%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.39%E -3.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-20 13:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.22%E -4.57%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.39%E -3.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-20 13:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.22%E -4.57%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.39%E -3.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-20 13:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.12%E -1.64%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.88%E -3.62%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-20 13:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -5.16%E -2.77%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.88%E -3.62%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 13:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.63%E -1.92%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.37%E -3.90%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-20 13:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.63%E -1.92%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.37%E -3.90%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-20 13:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.63%E -1.92%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.37%E -3.90%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-20 13:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.63%E -1.92%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.37%E -3.90%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-20 13:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV +3.00%E +1.48%K +2.94%G +0.088% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -9.82%E -5.34%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-20 13:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -6.69%E -3.66%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -10.31%E -5.63%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-20 13:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +1.98%E +0.989%K +1.98%G +0.039% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -11.78%E -6.54%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-20 11:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -3.12%E -1.64%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -11.78%E -6.54%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-20 13:34 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50% | 0.3% | 2026-04-20 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 0.4% | 2026-04-20 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 0.4% | 2026-04-20 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 0.6% | 2026-04-20 13:55 |