The School of Odds
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Gujarat Titans v Kolkata Knight Riders

Kickoff: 2026-04-17 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gujarat Titans (Local)

Prediction 59.47%1.68fair odd
EV -0.677%
Edge -0.405%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.70%59.57%59.46%61.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.601.601.6764.52%62.58%62.50%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kolkata Knight Riders (Visit)

Prediction 40.53%2.47fair odd
EV +0.908%
Edge +0.364%
Kelly +0.609%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 2.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.97%40.43%40.54%44.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.322.352.4947.62%43.08%42.55%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gujarat Titans (Local): 59.47%; Kolkata Knight Riders (Visit): 40.53%. For Kolkata Knight Riders (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.49, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.908%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -5.43%E -3.42%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV +0.908%E +0.364%K +0.609%G +0.006%3.1%2026-04-17 13:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -5.43%E -3.42%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV +0.908%E +0.364%K +0.609%G +0.006%3.1%2026-04-17 13:49
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.84%E -3.03%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.74%E -1.14%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-17 13:49
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.62%E -4.22%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.55%E -1.49%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 13:35
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.62%E -4.22%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.55%E -1.49%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 13:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.84%E -3.03%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.77%E -2.03%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 13:34
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.84%E -3.03%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.77%E -2.03%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 13:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.84%E -3.03%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.77%E -2.03%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 13:45
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.84%E -3.03%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.77%E -2.03%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 13:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.84%E -3.03%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.77%E -2.03%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 13:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.84%E -3.03%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.77%E -2.03%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 13:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.84%E -3.03%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.77%E -2.03%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 13:43
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.84%E -3.03%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.77%E -2.03%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 13:44
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.84%E -3.03%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.77%E -2.03%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 13:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.84%E -3.03%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.77%E -2.03%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 13:45
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.25%E -2.64%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 13:39
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.84%E -3.03%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 13:49
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.84%E -3.03%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 13:43
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.84%E -3.03%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 13:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.43%E -3.42%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 13:54
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.62%E -4.22%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 13:39
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.81%E -5.04%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 13:54
GTbets🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.06%E -1.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 13:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.65%E -2.25%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 13:49
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.65%E -2.25%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 13:49
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.25%E -2.64%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 13:49
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.62%E -4.22%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-17 13:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -6.03%E -3.82%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.47%EV -9.63%E -4.32%K -7.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-17 13:49
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -0.677%E -0.405%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -14.90%E -7.09%K -13.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 13:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%0.2%2026-04-17 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-04-17 13:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-04-17 13:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-04-17 13:54