The School of Odds
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Delhi Capitals v Rajasthan Royals

Kickoff: 2026-05-17 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Delhi Capitals (Local)

Prediction 45.53%2.20fair odd
EV +0.161%
Edge +0.073%
Kelly +0.134%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%45.78%45.52%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.092.102.2050.00%47.92%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rajasthan Royals (Visit)

Prediction 54.47%1.84fair odd
EV -0.860%
Edge -0.473%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%54.22%54.48%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.731.731.8260.61%57.88%57.80%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Delhi Capitals (Local): 45.53%; Rajasthan Royals (Visit): 54.47%. For Delhi Capitals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.196. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.200, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.161%.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.161%E +0.073%K +0.134%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.03%E -5.41%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 09:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.12%E -0.984%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.22%E -3.00%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.12%E -0.984%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.22%E -3.00%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 13:54
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -1.95%E -1.08%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 13:55
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.67%E -2.67%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 13:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 13:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 13:35
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 13:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 13:35
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 13:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 13:35
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 13:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 13:35
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.31%E -3.67%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 13:55
GTbets🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.85%E -4.01%K -9.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 13:55
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.85%E -4.01%K -9.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 13:55
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.40%E -4.35%K -10.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 13:55
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.03%E -5.41%K -13.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.03%E -5.41%K -13.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 13:55
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -10.12%E -6.13%K -15.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 13:55
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -6.21%E -3.02%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.40%E -4.35%K -10.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 13:35
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.67%E -3.25%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.67%E -2.67%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.67%E -3.25%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.67%E -2.67%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 13:55
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.67%E -3.25%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.22%E -3.00%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 13:55
Pinnacle🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -7.12%E -3.49%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -0.860%E -0.473%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 13:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.58%EV -7.58%E -3.73%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.42%EV -7.40%E -4.35%K -10.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 13:39
BetUS🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.58%EV -7.58%E -3.73%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.42%EV -7.40%E -4.35%K -10.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 13:40
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.95%E -1.08%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 13:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.58%E -2.02%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 13:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45%0.2%2026-05-17 13:55
Matchbook◎2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-05-17 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-05-17 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-05-17 13:55