The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Delhi Capitals v Mumbai Indians

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 10:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Delhi Capitals (Local)

Prediction 40.68%2.46fair odd
EV +1.70%
Edge +0.682%
Kelly +1.14%
Growth +0.019%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.97%40.68%40.87%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.342.302.5045.45%42.77%43.48%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mumbai Indians (Visit)

Prediction 59.32%1.69fair odd
EV -2.12%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -3.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%59.32%59.13%62.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.581.571.6565.36%63.13%63.69%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Delhi Capitals (Local): 40.68%; Mumbai Indians (Visit): 59.32%. For Delhi Capitals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.70%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +1.70%E +0.682%K +1.14%G +0.019%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -9.24%E -6.04%K -17.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 09:31
LowVig.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -0.330%E -0.135%K -0.228%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-04 09:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -0.330%E -0.135%K -0.228%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-04 09:49
Pinnacle🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -0.737%E -0.302%K -0.512%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -5.68%E -3.57%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 09:50
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.36%E -0.985%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 09:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.36%E -0.985%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 09:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.36%E -0.985%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 09:35
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.36%E -0.985%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.46%E -4.78%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 09:34
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.36%E -0.985%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.46%E -4.78%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 09:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.36%E -0.985%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.46%E -4.78%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 09:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.36%E -0.985%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.46%E -4.78%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 09:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.36%E -0.985%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.46%E -4.78%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 09:34
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.36%E -0.985%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.65%E -5.62%K -16.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 09:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.64%EV -5.21%E -2.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.36%EV -9.24%E -6.04%K -17.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 09:48
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.12%E -1.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 09:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.90%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 09:40
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 09:44
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 09:39
GTbets🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 09:54
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 09:39
SportsBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.13%EV -6.84%E -2.99%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 09:54
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.90%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 09:34
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.90%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 09:43
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.90%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 09:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 09:54
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 09:39
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 09:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 09:39
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.50%E -4.77%K -8.75%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -8.06%E -5.20%K -14.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 09:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74%0.1%2026-04-04 09:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%0.2%2026-04-04 09:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-04-04 09:55
Matchbook◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-04-04 09:55