Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Delhi Capitals v Kolkata Knight Riders

Kickoff: 2026-05-08 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Delhi Capitals (Local)

Prediction 49.61%2.02fair odd
EV -3.27%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -3.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.52%49.67%49.48%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.891.901.9555.56%52.87%52.63%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kolkata Knight Riders (Visit)

Prediction 50.39%1.98fair odd
EV +0.789%
Edge +0.395%
Kelly +0.789%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%50.33%50.52%51.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.891.892.0055.56%53.00%52.91%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Delhi Capitals (Local): 49.61%; Kolkata Knight Riders (Visit): 50.39%. For Kolkata Knight Riders (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.98. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.789%.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.71%E -5.95%K -13.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.789%E +0.395%K +0.789%G +0.006%5.6%2026-05-08 00:19
Pinnacle🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -5.75%E -3.03%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -1.73%E -0.887%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 13:45
GTbets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.23%E -4.45%K -9.68%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.74%E -1.42%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 13:45
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.75%E -1.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 13:45
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.75%E -1.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 17:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.75%E -1.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 13:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -10.71%E -5.95%K -13.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -3.75%E -1.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 13:33
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.27%E -1.68%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.25%E -2.24%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 13:54
Unibet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.03%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.24%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 13:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.03%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.24%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 13:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.03%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.24%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 13:34
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.03%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.24%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 13:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.03%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.24%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 13:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.26%E -2.21%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.75%E -2.52%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 13:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.30%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.52%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 13:34
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.30%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.52%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 13:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.30%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.52%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 13:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.30%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.52%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 13:34
Casumo🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.30%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.52%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 13:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.76%E -2.48%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.26%E -2.80%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 13:40
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.76%E -2.48%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.26%E -2.80%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 13:54
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.25%E -2.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.76%E -3.08%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 13:39
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -10.71%E -5.95%K -13.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -5.76%E -3.08%K -6.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-08 13:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.25%E -2.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -6.27%E -3.37%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 13:40
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.27%E -1.68%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.77%E -3.66%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 13:35
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.23%E -4.45%K -9.68%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.77%E -3.66%K -7.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 13:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.23%E -4.45%K -9.68%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.77%E -3.66%K -7.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 13:40
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.25%E -2.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.78%E -4.25%K -9.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 13:34
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.25%E -2.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.29%E -5.16%K -11.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 13:54
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.75%E -3.03%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.29%E -5.16%K -11.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 13:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-05-08 13:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-05-08 13:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-05-08 13:54
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-05-08 13:54